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2016 Florida Republican Primary

99 Delegates: Winner-Take-All (March 15, 2016)

(Total delegates include 10 base at-large, 81 delegates for 27 congressional districts, 3 party and 5 bonus delegates.)

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Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Rubio Cruz Kasich Spread
PPD Average 3/4 - 3/13 -- -- 43.0 24.4 18 9.1 Trump +18.6
Florida Times-Union 3/13 - 3/13 787 LV 3.5 44.0 26.0 18 10.0 Trump +18
Trafalgar Group (R) 3/12 - 3/13 1500 LV 2.6 44.0 24.0 20 9.0 Trump +20
ARG 3/11 - 3/13 400 LV 5 49.0 24.0 16 8.0 Trump +25
Monmouth 3/11 - 3/13 405 LV 4.9 44.0 27.0 17 9.0 Trump +17
Quinnipiac 3/8 - 3/13 615 LV 4 46.0 22.0 14 10.0 Trump +24
NBC/WSJ/Marist 3/4 - 3/10 511 LV 4.3 43.0 22.0 21 9.0 Trump +21
Florida Atlantic University 3/8 - 3/11 852 LV 3 44.0 21.0 21 9.0 Trump +23
WTSP/Mason-Dixon 3/7 - 3/9 700 LV 3.8 36.0 30.0 17 8.0 Trump +6
Florida Times-Union 3/9 - 3/9 590 LV 4 43.0 24.0 21 10.0 Trump +19
Trafalgar Group (R) 3/8 - 3/9 1280 LV 2.8 42.0 23.0 21 11.0 Trump +19
Suffolk University 3/7 - 3/9 500 LV 4.4 36.0 27.0 19 10.0 Trump +9
FOX News 3/3 - 3/8 813 LV 3.5 43.0 20.0 16 10.0 Trump +23
Quinnipiac 3/2 - 3/7 657 LV 3.8 45.0 22.0 18 8.0 Trump +23
UNF 3/2 - 3/7 752 LV 3.6 36.0 24.0 16 9.0 Trump +12
CNN/ORC 3/2 - 3/6 313 LV 5.5 40.0 24.0 19 5.0 Trump +16
Wash Post/Univision 3/2 - 3/5 450 LV 5.5 38.0 31.0 19 4.0 Trump +7
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA 3/4 - 3/6 937 LV 3.3 42.0 22.0 17 10.0 Trump +20
Monmouth 3/3 - 3/6 403 LV 4.9 38.0 30.0 17 10.0 Trump +8
PPP (D) 2/24 - 2/25 464 LV 4.6 45.0 25.0 10 8.0 Trump +20
Gravis Marketing 2/24/2016 751 LV 3.6 45.0 25.0 15 10.0 Trump +20
Quinnipiac 2/21 - 2/24 705 LV 3.7 44.0 28.0 12 7.0 Trump +16
CBS News/YouGov 2/21 - 1/21 988 LV 4.6 41.0 18.0 22 2.0 Trump +19
Florida Times-Union 1/17 - 1/17 838 LV 3.3 31.0 12.0 19 3.0 Trump +12
Florida Atlantic University 1/15 - 1/18 386 LV 4.9 48.0 11.0 16 2.0 Trump +32
Florida Times-Union 12/16 - 12/16 555 LV 4.1 30.0 15.0 20 1.0 Trump +10
St. Pete Polls 12/14 - 12/15 2694 RV 1.9 36.0 17.0 22 2.0 Trump +14
Florida Atlantic University 11/15 - 11/16 355 LV 5.2 36.0 18.0 10 3.0 Trump +18
Florida Times-Union 11/11 - 11/11 806 LV 34 23.0 18.0 12 3.0 Trump +1
Bay News 9/News 13 10/28 - 11/1 922 LV -- 37.0 16.0 10 3.0 Trump +20
UNF 10/8 - 10/13 641 RV 3.9 22.0 15.0 7 4.0 Trump +3
Quinnipiac 9/25 - 10/5 461 RV 4.6 28.0 14.0 6 2.0 Trump +12
JU PPI 9/17 - 9/22 585 LV 4.1 24.0 15.0 4 2.0 Trump +7
FL Chamber 9/16 - 9/20 248 LV 4 25.0 14.0 6 4.0 Trump +11
PPP (D) 9/11 - 9/13 377 RV 5.1 28.0 10.0 9 5.0 Trump +11
Gravis Marketing 9/5 - 9/11 891 RV 3 34.0 5.0 6 5.0 Trump +12
Florida Times-Union 9/2 - 9/2 498 4.3 29.0 6.0 3 3.0 Trump +4
Quinnipiac 8/7 - 8/18 477 RV 4.5 21.0 11.0 7 3.0 Trump +4
Florida Times-Union 8/3 - 8/3 547 LV 4.1 27.0 7.0 8 3.0 Trump +1
Mason-Dixon 7/20 - 7/23 500 RV 4.5 11.0 16.0 4 3.0 Bush +12
Gravis Marketing 6/16 - 6/20 729 RV 3 0.0 23.0 5 0.0 Bush +5
Quinnipiac 6/4 - 6/15 458 RV 4.6 3.0 18.0 3 1.0 Bush +2
Quinnipiac 3/17 - 3/28 428 RV 4.7 0.0 12.0 7 1.0 Bush +9
PPP (D) 3/19 - 3/22 425 RV 4.8 0.0 15.0 6 0.0 Bush +8
Gravis Marketing 2/24 - 2/25 513 RV 4 0.0 11.0 2 0.0 Bush +1
Quinnipiac 1/22 - 2/1 348 RV 5.3 0.0 15.0 4 0.0 Bush +17
Quinnipiac 7/17 - 7/21 451 RV 4.6 0.0 18.0 10 1.0 Bush +3
PPP (D) 6/6 - 6/9 315 RV 5.5 0.0 14.0 9 0.0 Bush +16
Quinnipiac 4/23 - 4/28 494 RV 4.4 0.0 11.0 6 0.0 Bush +13
Magellan (R) 4/14 - 4/15 LV -- 0.0 8.0 10 3.0 Bush +27
Quinnipiac 1/22 - 1/27 586 RV 4.1 0.0 16.0 9 0.0 Bush +9
Quinnipiac 11/12 - 11/17 668 RV 3.8 0.0 18.0 12 0.0 Bush +4
PPP (D) 3/15 - 3/18 326 RV 5.4 0.0 29.0 0 0.0 Bush +1
PPP (D) 1/11 - 1/13 436 RV 4.7 0.0 31.0 0 0.0 Rubio +5
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Rubio Cruz Kasich Spread


Latest 2016 Florida Republican primary polls and the PPD aggregate polling average for the Sunshine State. The Florida Republican primary on Tuesday March 15, 2016 is a winner-take-all contest, which awards all 99 delegates to the plurality or majority winner. All 99 of Florida’s delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated in today’s Florida Presidential Primary. [Republican Party of Florida Rule 10 B. and D]

Though 3 party leaders–the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Florida’s Republican Party–will attend the convention, by virtue of their position, they are bound to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the Florida Republican primary statewide. However, National Convention Delegates are bound through the 3rd ballot unless the candidate withdraws or releases his/her delegates.

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