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2016 Iowa Republican Caucus

30 Delegates: Caucus Allocation (February 1, 2016)

(Please Note: Total delegates include 30 soft unpledged. Read below table for more on allocation.)

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Polling Data


PollDatePoPTrumpCruzRubioCarsonChristieBushPaulHuckabeeKasichFiorinaSantorumSpread
PPD Average 1/24 - 1/31 -- 28.6 23.9 16.9 7.7 4.1 4.1 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.4 1.1 Trump +4.7
Emerson 1/29 - 1/31 298 LV 27.0 26.0 22.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 Trump +1
Opinion Savvy 1/29 - 1/30 887 LV 20.0 19.0 19.0 9.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 Trump +1
Quinnipiac 1/25 - 1/31 890 LV 31.0 24.0 17.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 Trump +7
DMR/Bloomberg 1/26 - 1/29 602 LV 28.0 23.0 15.0 10.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Trump +5
PPP (D) 1/26 - 1/27 780 LV 31.0 23.0 14.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 Trump +8
Gravis 1/26 - 1/27 724 LV 31.0 27.0 13.0 7.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 Trump +4
NBC/WSJ/Marist 1/24 - 1/26 450 LV 32.0 25.0 18.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 Trump +7
Monmouth 1/23 - 1/26 500 LV 30.0 23.0 16.0 10.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Trump +7
Quinnipiac 1/18 - 1/24 651 LV 31.0 29.0 13.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 Trump +2
ARG 1/21 - 1/24 400 LV 33.0 26.0 11.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 Trump +7
FOX News 1/18 - 1/21 378 LV 34.0 23.0 12.0 7.0 4.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 Trump +11
CBS/YouGov 1/18 - 1/21 492 LV 39.0 34.0 13.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Trump +5
CNN/ORC 1/15 - 1/20 266 LV 37.0 26.0 14.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Trump +11
KBUR 1/18 - 1/19 687 LV 27.0 25.0 9.0 11.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 Cruz +2
Loras College 1/13 - 1/18 500 LV 25.0 26.0 13.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Trump +1
Gravis 1/11 - 1/12 422 LV 28.0 34.0 5.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 Trump +6
DM Register 1/7 - 1/10 500 LV 22.0 25.0 12.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 Cruz +3
PPP (D) 1/8 - 1/10 530 LV 26.0 28.0 13.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 Trump +2
Quinnipiac 1/5 - 1/10 602 LV 31.0 29.0 15.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 Trump +2
ARG 1/6 - 1/10 400 LV 29.0 25.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 Trump +4
FOX News 1/4 - 1/7 504 LV 23.0 27.0 15.0 9.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Cruz +4
NBC/WSJ/Marist 1/2 - 1/7 456 LV 24.0 28.0 13.0 11.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 Cruz +4
Gravis 12/18 - 12/21 440 LV 31.0 31.0 9.0 7.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 Tie
CBS News/YouGov 12/14 - 12/17 534 LV 31.0 40.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 Cruz +9
PPP (D) 12/10 - 12/13 522 LV 28.0 25.0 14.0 10.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 Trump +3
Des Moines Register 12/7 - 12/10 400 LV 21.0 31.0 10.0 13.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 Cruz +10
FOX News 12/7 - 12/10 450 LV 26.0 28.0 13.0 10.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 Cruz +2
Loras College 12/7 - 12/10 499 LV 23.0 30.0 11.0 11.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 Cruz +7
Quinnipiac 12/4 - 12/13 847 3.3 28.0 27.0 14.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 Trump +1
Monmouth 12/3 - 12/6 425 LV 19.0 24.0 17.0 13.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 Cruz +5
CNN/ORC 11/28 - 12/6 552 LV 33.0 20.0 11.0 16.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 Trump +13
Quinnipiac 11/16 - 11/22 600 LV 25.0 23.0 13.0 18.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 Trump +2
CBS/YouGov 11/15 - 11/19 658 LV 30.0 21.0 11.0 19.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 Trump +9
CNN/ORC 10/29 - 11/4 548 LV 25.0 11.0 13.0 23.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 Trump +2
PPP (D) 10/30 - 11/1 638 LV 22.0 14.0 10.0 21.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 Trump +1
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 273 RV 29.0 9.0 18.0 22.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 Trump +7
KBUR 10/29 - 10/31 874 LV 20.0 15.0 10.0 28.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 Carson +8
Monmouth 10/22 - 10/25 400 LV 18.0 10.0 10.0 32.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 Carson +14
Loras College 10/19 - 10/22 500 LV 19.0 6.0 10.0 31.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 Carson +12
CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 LV 27.0 12.0 9.0 27.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 Tie
DMR/Bloomberg 10/16 - 10/19 401 LV 19.0 10.0 9.0 28.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 Carson +9
Quinnipiac 10/14 - 10/20 574 LV 20.0 10.0 13.0 28.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 Carson +8
NBC/WSJ 9/23 - 9/30 431 RV 24.0 6.0 6.0 19.0 4.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 Trump +5
Gravis 9/25 - 9/27 454 RV 19.0 11.0 9.0 14.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 1.0 Trump +5
PPP (D) 9/18 - 9/20 488 RV 24.0 8.0 8.0 17.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 13.0 1.0 Trump +7
CBS/YouGov 9/3 - 9/10 705 LV 29.0 10.0 6.0 25.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 Trump +4
Quinnipiac 8/27 - 9/8 1038 LV 27.0 9.0 5.0 21.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 Trump +6
NBC/Marist 8/26 - 9/2 390 RV 29.0 4.0 4.0 22.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 Trump +7
Gravis 8/29 - 8/31 507 RV 32.0 7.0 6.0 16.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 Trump +16
Monmouth 8/27 - 8/30 405 LV 23.0 9.0 4.0 23.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 2.0 Tie
DM Register 8/23 - 8/26 400 LV 23.0 8.0 6.0 18.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 Trump +5
Loras College 8/24 - 8/27 502 LV 25.0 7.0 4.0 18.0 2.0 10.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 Trump +7
CNN/ORC 8/7 - 8/11 544 LV 22.0 8.0 5.0 14.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 Trump +8
Suffolk 8/7 - 8/10 500 LV 17.0 7.0 10.0 9.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 Trump +5
PPP (D) 8/7 - 8/9 567 LV 19.0 9.0 6.0 12.0 1.0 11.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 10.0 2.0 Trump +7
Gravis 7/29 - 7/29 227 RV 31.0 6.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 Trump +16
NBC/Marist 7/14 - 7/21 342 RV 17.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 12.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Walker +2
Monmouth 7/16 - 7/19 452 LV 13.0 7.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 Walker +9
KBUR/WAA 6/27 - 6/29 1000 LV 7.0 8.0 9.0 5.0 5.0 12.0 10.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 Walker +6
Quinnipiac 6/20 - 6/29 666 LV 10.0 9.0 7.0 10.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Walker +8
DM Register 5/25 - 5/29 402 LV 4.0 5.0 6.0 10.0 4.0 9.0 10.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 Walker +7
Mrng Consult 5/31 - 6/8 265 RV 5.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 6.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 Walker +8
Gravis 5/28 - 5/29 364 RV 0.0 6.0 13.0 12.0 4.0 10.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 Walker +4
Quinnipiac 4/25 - 5/4 667 LV 0.0 12.0 13.0 7.0 3.0 5.0 13.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Walker +8
PPP (D) 4/23 - 4/26 462 LV 0.0 8.0 13.0 7.0 5.0 12.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Walker +10
Loras College 4/21 - 4/23 509 LV 3.0 7.0 10.0 6.0 5.0 10.0 6.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 Walker +3
Gravis 4/13 - 4/13 388 RV 0.0 6.0 12.0 9.0 5.0 16.0 9.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 Bush +3
Quinnipiac 2/16 - 2/23 623 LV 0.0 5.0 4.0 11.0 4.0 10.0 13.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 Walker +12
Gravis 2/12 - 2/13 343 RV 0.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 9.0 10.0 10.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 Walker +14
NBC/Marist 2/3 - 2/10 320 RV 0.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 9.0 16.0 7.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 Huckabee +1
DM Register 1/26 - 1/29 402 LV 1.0 6.0 4.0 10.0 6.0 9.0 15.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 Walker +1
Loras College 1/21 - 1/26 316 LV 0.0 5.0 4.0 13.0 5.0 13.0 7.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 Huckabee +1
FOX News 10/28 - 10/30 329 LV 0.0 7.0 5.0 12.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 13.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 Huckabee +1
CNN/ORC 9/8 - 9/10 310 RV 0.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Huckabee +14
USAT/Suffolk 8/23 - 8/26 206 LV 0.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 11.0 7.0 7.0 13.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 Huckabee +2
NBC/Marist 7/7 - 7/13 558 RV 0.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 Tie
PPP (D) 5/15 - 5/19 303 RV 0.0 15.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 10.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Huckabee +5
Vox Populi (R) 4/22 - 4/24 RV 0.0 9.0 9.0 0.0 7.0 18.0 8.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Huckabee +2
Magellan (R) 4/14 - 4/15 LV 0.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 17.0 11.0 17.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 Tie
Loras College 4/7 - 4/8 600 LV 0.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 9.0 15.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 Huckabee +4
Suffolk* 4/3 - 4/8 127 LV 0.0 9.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 10.0 10.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 Huckabee +1
WPA (R) 3/30 - 3/30 402 RV 0.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 10.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 Huckabee +4
PPP (D) 2/20 - 2/23 283 RV 0.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 13.0 14.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Huckabee +3
PPP (D) 7/5 - 7/7 250 RV 0.0 10.0 11.0 0.0 16.0 14.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 Paul +2
Harper (R) 11/23 - 11/24 390 LV 0.0 16.0 6.0 0.0 17.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 Christie +1
PPP (D) 2/1 - 2/3 326 RV 0.0 0.0 16.0 0.0 12.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Tie
Harper (R) 1/29 - 1/29 LV 0.0 0.0 27.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 Rubio +13
PPP (D) 7/12 - 7/15 363 RV 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 16.0 8.0 11.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 Tie
PPP (D) 5/3 - 5/6 346 RV 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 15.0 10.0 9.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 Tie
PollDatePoPTrumpCruzRubioCarsonChristieBushPaulHuckabeeKasichFiorinaSantorumSpread


Above is table listing the latest 2016 Iowa Republican Caucus polls and aggregate PPD polling average for the first in the nation caucus. There are 30 delegates up for grabs in the Iowa Republican caucus on Tuesday February 9, 2016, which are to be allocated as follows:

Each of Iowa’s 4 congressional districts are assigned 3 National Convention delegates, making a total of 12 district delegates that will be chosen by these Congressional District Caucuses. These 12 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to the presidential contenders in such a way as determined by each Congressional District Caucus.

The State Convention chooses the remaining 15 at-large of Iowa’s delegates–10 base at-large delegates plus 5 bonus delegates–to the Republican National Convention. While there is no formal system of allocating these 15 at-large National Convention delegates to presidential contenders, these delegates will be allocated according to the vote of the Iowa State Convention as a whole.

The final 3 delegates are party leaders, including the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman and the chairman of the Iowa’s Republican Party, who will attend the convention as unpledged delegates by virtue of their position.

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