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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
HomeLatest PollsElection 2016Michigan Republican Primary

2016 Michigan Republican Primary

59 Delegates: Proportional Winner-Take-Most (March 8, 2016)

(Please Note: The 59 total delegates include 10 base at-large, 42 per 14 congressional districts, 3 party and 4 bonus.)

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Polling Data

PollDataSampleMoETrumpRubioCruzKasichSpread
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 3/7 - 3/7 472 LV 4.5 41.0 8.0 23.0 18.0 Trump +18
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 3/6 - 3/6 663 LV 3.8 42.0 9.0 19.0 20.0 Trump +22
Trafalgar Group (R) 3/5 - 3/6 1610 LV 4 41.0 8.0 23.0 23.0 Trump +18
Monmouth University 3/3 - 3/6 402 LV 4.9 36.0 13.0 23.0 21.0 Trump +13
CBS News/YouGov 3/2 - 3/4 638 LV 5.9 39.0 16.0 24.0 15.0 Trump +15
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 3/1 - 3/3 482 LV 4.5 41.0 17.0 22.0 13.0 Trump +19
ARG 3/4 - 3/5 400 LV 5 31.0 11.0 15.0 33.0 Kasich +2
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 3/1 - 3/1 679 LV 3.8 39.0 19.0 14.0 12.0 Trump +20
EPIC-MRA 2/27 - 2/29 400 LV 4.9 29.0 18.0 19.0 8.0 Trump +10
MRG 2/22 - 2/27 217 LV -- 33.0 18.0 18.0 10.0 Trump +15
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 2/23 - 2/23 459 LV 4.6 41.0 19.0 16.0 11.0 Trump +22
Target Insyght 2/22 - 2/24 400 LV 5 41.0 17.0 14.0 12.0 Trump +24
ARG 2/19 - 2/20 400 LV 5 35.0 12.0 12.0 17.0 Trump +18
Detroit News/WDIV-TV 2/14 - 2/16 600 LV 4 25.0 12.0 15.0 11.0 Trump +10
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 2/15 - 2/15 394 LV 4.9 41.0 10.0 11.0 11.0 Trump +30
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 2/4 - 2/4 330 LV 5.4 41.0 20.0 16.0 0.0 Trump +21
IMP/Target Insyght 2/2 - 2/4 400 LV 5 35.0 21.0 21.0 6.0 Trump +14
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 1/25 - 1/25 493 LV 4.4 51.0 12.0 15.0 0.0 Trump +36
MRG 9/9 - 9/14 600 LV 4 22.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 Carson +2
FOX 2/Mitchell 8/10 - 8/10 432 LV 5 20.0 10.0 8.0 8.0 Trump +5
PPP (D) 6/25 - 6/28 465 RV 4.5 14.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 Walker +1
USAT/Suffolk 9/6 - 9/10 188 LV -- 0.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 Tie
Magellan (R) 4/14 - 4/15 LV -- 0.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 Huckabee +8
PPP (D) 4/3 - 4/6 334 RV 5.4 0.0 4.0 11.0 0.0 Paul +1
Harper (R) 1/7 - 1/8 653 LV 3.8 0.0 7.0 10.0 0.0 Christie +1
PPP (D) 12/5 - 12/8 450 RV 4.6 0.0 8.0 15.0 0.0 Paul +2
PPP (D) 5/30 - 6/2 334 RV 5.4 0.0 11.0 7.0 0.0 Paul +2
PollDataSampleMoETrumpRubioCruzKasichSpread



Above is the latest 2016 Michigan Republican Primary polls and PPD average for the March 8, 2016, proportional Winner-Take-Most contest. All 59 of the state’s delegates to the Republican National Convention are bound to candidates based on the results of the vote in the Michigan Republican Primary.

However, if a candidate received 50% or more of the statewide vote, then that candidate receives all of the state’s 59 delegates. Further, there is a 15-percentage point statewide vote threshold that could allow a candidate to receive all of the state’s delegates.

But if no candidate receives at least 15% of the statewide vote, then the threshold shall be the percentage of the vote cast for the candidate with the most votes (rounded up or down to the nearest 10th of a percent) minus 5% (thus, were the statewide winner to receive but 14.3% of the vote, the new threshold would then be 9.3%).

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