Tuesday, October 17, 2017
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2016 New York Republican Primary

95 Delegates: Winner-Take-Most (April 19, 2016)

Total delegates include 10 base at-large, 81 for the 27 congressional districts, 3 party and 1 bonus.

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hEmpire State Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Kasich Cruz Spread
PPD Average 4/6 - 4/17 -- -- 53.7 21.8 18.3 Trump +31.9
Emerson College 4/16 - 4/17 361 LV 5.1 55.0 21.0 18.0 Trump +34
CBS News/YouGov 4/13 - 4/15 705 LV 5.9 54.0 19.0 21.0 Trump +33
Gravis Marketing 4/13 - 4/13 481 LV 4.5 57.0 22.0 20.0 Trump +35
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist 4/10 - 4/13 313 LV 5.5 54.0 25.0 16.0 Trump +29
Siena 4/6 - 4/11 469 LV 5 50.0 27.0 17.0 Trump +23
Quinnipiac 4/6 - 4/11 550 LV 4.2 55.0 20.0 19.0 Trump +35
Quinnipiac University 4/6 - 4/11 550 LV 4.1 55.0 20.0 19.0 Trump +36
PPP (D) 4/7 - 4/10 483 LV 2.6 51.0 25.0 20.0 Trump +26
Liberty Research (R) 4/6 - 4/7 6041 LV 3 52.0 23.0 19.0 Trump +29
NBC/WSJ/Marist 4/6 - 4/10 259 LV 6.1 54.0 21.0 18.0 Trump +33
Baruch College 4/5 - 4/10 324 LV 2.9 60.0 17.0 14.0 Trump +43
FOX News 4/4 - 4/7 602 LV 4 54.0 15.0 22.0 Trump +32
Emerson 4/6 - 4/7 321 LV 5.4 56.0 22.0 17.0 Trump +34
Monmouth 4/3 - 4/5 302 LV 5.6 52.0 25.0 17.0 Trump +31
CBS News/YouGov 3/29 - 4/1 657 LV 3.4 52.0 21.0 20.0 Trump +31
Quinnipiac University 3/22 - 3/29 457 LV 4.6 56.0 19.0 20.0 Trump +36
0ptimus (R)* 3/22 - 3/24 14234 LV 1 50.0 16.0 24.0 Trump +26
Emerson University Polling Institute 3/14 - 3/16 298 LV 5.6 64.0 1.0 12.0 Trump +52
Siena 2/28 - 3/3 229 RV 6.7 45.0 18.0 11.0 Trump +27
Siena 1/31 - 2/3 235 RV 7 34.0 4.0 16.0 Trump +18
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Kasich Cruz Spread


The latest 2016 New York Republican Primary polls taken for the contest on Tuesday, April 19. There are 95 delegates awarded on a winner-take-most basis in the Empire State, with 81 district delegates bound to candidates based on the primary results in each of the state’s 27 congressional districts. Each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates who are slated by the Presidential candidates prior to the primary. In each district:

  • If a candidate receives more than 50% or only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate receives all 3 delegates.
  • Otherwise, if at least 2 presidential contenders receive 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes receives 2 delegates and the candidate with the second most of votes receives 1 delegate.
  • Otherwise, if no presidential contender receives 20% or more of the vote, the party will elect 3 delegates without considering the results of the primary.
  • 14 At-Large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) are bound to presidential contenders “winner-take-most” based on the statewide primary results. 11 of these delegates (the 10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates) are elected at the state committee meeting.
    • If a candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, that candidate receives all 14 delegates.
    • Otherwise, the delegates are distributed proportionally to those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote. Round fractions to the nearest whole number. If too few delegates are allocated, the candidate receiving the largest vote receives those the remaining delegates. If too many delegates are allocated, subtract those delegates from the candidate(s) who met the threshold but had the smallest number of votes.

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