Tuesday, October 17, 2017
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2016 North Carolina Republican Primary

72 Delegates: Proportional Allocation (March 15, 2016)

(Total delegates include 10 base at-large, 39 for 13 congressional districts, 3 party and 20 bonus.)

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Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Cruz Rubio Kasich Spread
PPD Average 3/4 - 3/13 -- -- 41.3 28.5 11.3 10.0 Trump +12.8
PPP (D) 3/11 - 3/13 749 LV 3.6 44.0 33.0 11.0 7.0 Trump +11
High Point University 3/9 - 3/10 734 LV 3.7 48.0 28.0 8.0 12.0 Trump +20
Civitas (R) 3/5 - 3/7 500 LV 4.4 32.0 26.0 11.0 11.0 Trump +6
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA 3/4 - 3/7 688 LV 3.8 41.0 27.0 14.0 11.0 Trump +14
Elon University 2/15 - 2/17 733 LV 3.6 28.0 19.0 16.0 7.0 Trump +9
SurveyUSA 2/14 - 2/16 437 LV 4.8 36.0 18.0 18.0 7.0 Trump +18
PPP (D) 2/14 - 2/16 597 LV 4.1 29.0 19.0 16.0 11.0 Trump +10
High Point 1/30 - 2/4 477 LV 4.5 26.0 22.0 20.0 2.0 Trump +4
Civitas (R) 1/18 - 1/19 500 LV 4.4 27.0 23.0 10.0 2.0 Trump +4
PPP (D) 1/18 - 1/19 433 LV 4.7 38.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 Trump +22
PPP (D) 12/5 - 12/7 537 RV 4.2 33.0 16.0 14.0 3.0 Trump +17
Elon University 10/29 - 11/2 466 RV 3 19.0 10.0 10.0 1.0 Carson +12
PPP (D) 10/23 - 10/25 425 RV 4.8 31.0 6.0 11.0 5.0 Trump +8
PPP (D) 9/25 - 9/28 576 RV 4.1 26.0 9.0 10.0 4.0 Trump +5
Elon University 9/17 - 9/21 516 RV 4.3 22.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 Trump +1
PPP (D) 8/12 - 8/16 406 LV 4.9 24.0 10.0 9.0 1.0 Trump +10
FOX 46/Opinion Savvy 8/2 - 8/3 486 LV 4.4 30.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 Trump +11
PPP (D) 7/2 - 7/6 288 RV 5.8 16.0 6.0 9.0 0.0 Trump +4
PPP (D) 5/28 - 5/31 277 RV 5.9 0.0 11.0 12.0 0.0 Bush +7
Gravis Marketing 4/30 - 4/30 835 RV 3 0.0 8.0 16.0 0.0 Bush +2
PPP (D) 4/2 - 4/5 351 RV 5.2 0.0 11.0 11.0 0.0 Bush +8
SUSA/Civitas (R) 3/20 - 3/23 400 LV 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Bush +2
PPP (D) 2/24 - 2/26 389 RV 5 0.0 3.0 7.0 0.0 Bush +2
PPP (D) 12/4 - 12/7 390 RV 5 0.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 Carson +4
USAT/Suffolk 8/16 - 8/19 200 LV -- 0.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 Huckabee +7
Civitas (R) 7/28 - 7/29 336 RV -- 0.0 7.0 8.0 0.0 Bush +7
PPP (D) 5/9 - 5/11 394 RV 4.9 0.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 Tie
Magellan (R) 4/14 - 4/15 LV -- 0.0 11.0 6.0 3.0 Huckabee +2
PPP (D) 4/3 - 4/6 314 RV 5.5 0.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 Huckabee +4
PPP (D) 3/6 - 3/9 392 RV 5 0.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 Huckabee +4
PPP (D) 2/6 - 2/9 305 RV 5.6 0.0 8.0 7.0 0.0 Huckabee +5
PPP (D) 1/9 - 1/12 575 RV 4.1 0.0 11.0 9.0 0.0 Christie +3
PPP (D) 12/5 - 12/8 529 RV 4.3 0.0 12.0 10.0 0.0 Christie +4
PPP (D) 11/8 - 11/11 498 RV 4.4 0.0 12.0 10.0 0.0 Christie +4
PPP (D) 12/6 - 12/9 462 RV 4.6 0.0 0.0 21.0 0.0 Rubio +6
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Cruz Rubio Kasich Spread


The latest 2016 North Carolina Republican Primary polls and PPD average for the March 15, 2016, proportional contest with 72 proportional delegates. For every 1.39% of the statewide vote the candidates receive 1 delegate. The 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the North Carolina’s Republican Party, will attend the convention as bound delegates by virtue of their position.

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