Monday, October 23, 2017
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2016 South Carolina Republican Primary

50 Delegates: Allocated Proportionally (February 20, 2016)

(Please Note: Total delegates include 10 at-large, 21 from 7 congressional districts, 3 party, and 16 bonus. Read below table for more on allocation.)

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Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Kasich Carson Spread
PPD Average 2/15 - 2/19 -- -- 31.8 18.5 18.8 10.7 9.0 6.8 Trump +13.0
Augusta Chronicle 2/18 - 2/19 780 LV 3.5 27.0 19.0 24.0 11.0 7.0 8.0 Trump +3
SC House GOP 2/18 - 2/18 3500 LV 2.9 34.0 19.0 18.0 12.0 8.0 5.0 Trump +15
ARG 2/17 - 2/18 401 LV 5 34.0 13.0 22.0 9.0 14.0 4.0 Trump +12
Emerson 2/16 - 2/18 418 LV 4.7 36.0 18.0 19.0 10.0 10.0 6.0 Trump +17
SC House GOP 2/17 - 2/17 5800 LV 2 34.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 9.0 5.0 Trump +16
ARG 2/16 - 2/17 400 LV 5 33.0 13.0 20.0 8.0 15.0 3.0 Trump +13
Harper (R) 2/16 - 2/17 599 LV 4 29.0 17.0 15.0 14.0 13.0 8.0 Trump +12
FOX News 2/15 - 2/17 759 LV 3.5 32.0 19.0 15.0 9.0 6.0 9.0 Trump +13
NBC/WSJ/Marist 2/15 - 2/17 722 LV 3.6 28.0 23.0 15.0 13.0 9.0 9.0 Trump +5
SC House GOP 2/16 - 2/16 2400 LV 2 35.0 16.0 16.0 14.0 9.0 6.0 Trump +19
Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2/13 - 2/16 502 LV 4.4 36.0 17.0 15.0 13.0 7.0 9.0 Trump +19
Monmouth 2/14 - 2/16 400 LV 4.9 35.0 19.0 17.0 8.0 9.0 7.0 Trump +16
Emerson 2/15 - 2/16 375 LV 5 33.0 20.0 19.0 9.0 9.0 5.0 Trump +13
SC House GOP 2/15 - 2/15 1700 LV 2.4 34.0 16.0 15.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 Trump +18
ARG 2/14 - 2/16 400 LV 5 33.0 14.0 16.0 9.0 14.0 3.0 Trump +17
CNN/ORC 2/10 - 2/15 404 LV 5 38.0 22.0 14.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 Trump +16
PPP (D) 2/14 - 2/15 897 LV 3.3 35.0 18.0 18.0 10.0 7.0 7.0 Trump +17
SC House GOP 2/14 - 2/14 1300 LV 2.8 33.0 14.0 14.0 13.0 10.0 6.0 Trump +19
ARG 2/12 - 2/13 400 LV 5 35.0 12.0 14.0 10.0 15.0 2.0 Trump +20
Gravis 2/11 - 2/13 1281 LV 3 37.0 23.0 19.0 9.0 6.0 6.0 Trump +14
CBS News/YouGov 2/10 - 2/12 744 LV 5.7 42.0 20.0 15.0 9.0 6.0 6.0 Trump +22
SC House GOP 2/11 - 2/12 1200 LV 3 35.0 16.0 13.0 13.0 9.0 5.0 Trump +19
ARG 2/12 - 2/13 400 LV 5 35.0 12.0 14.0 10.0 15.0 2.0 Trump +20
Augusta Chronicle 2/10 - 2/11 779 LV 3.5 36.0 20.0 15.0 11.0 9.0 5.0 Trump +16
NBC/WSJ/Marist 1/17 - 1/23 718 LV 3.7 36.0 20.0 14.0 9.0 1.0 8.0 Trump +16
CBS News/YouGov 1/17 - 1/21 805 LV 5.7 40.0 21.0 13.0 8.0 2.0 9.0 Trump +19
Augusta Chronicle 1/15 - 1/15 683 LV -- 32.0 18.0 11.0 13.0 3.0 9.0 Trump +14
CBS News/YouGov 12/14 - 12/17 852 LV 6 38.0 23.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 9.0 Trump +15
Augusta Chronicle 12/16 - 12/16 536 LV 4.2 28.0 21.0 12.0 10.0 1.0 10.0 Trump +7
FOX News 12/5 - 12/8 437 LV 4.5 35.0 14.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 15.0 Trump +20
Winthrop 11/30 - 12/7 828 LV 3.4 24.0 16.0 11.0 9.0 1.0 14.0 Trump +8
CBS/YouGov 11/15 - 11/19 862 LV 5.4 35.0 13.0 16.0 5.0 2.0 19.0 Trump +16
PPP (D) 11/7 - 11/8 787 LV 3.5 25.0 15.0 13.0 8.0 3.0 21.0 Trump +4
Monmouth 11/5 - 11/8 401 LV 4.9 27.0 9.0 11.0 7.0 1.0 28.0 Carson +1
Clemson 10/13 - 10/23 600 LV 4 23.0 8.0 9.0 7.0 2.0 19.0 Trump +4
CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 817 LV 6.6 40.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 2.0 23.0 Trump +17
CNN/ORC 10/3 - 10/10 521 LV 4.5 36.0 5.0 9.0 6.0 1.0 18.0 Trump +18
Gravis 9/25 - 9/27 762 RV 3.6 29.0 8.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 16.0 Trump +13
CBS/YouGov 9/3 - 9/10 1002 LV 4.5 36.0 6.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 21.0 Trump +15
PPP (D) 9/3 - 9/6 764 RV 3.6 37.0 6.0 4.0 6.0 4.0 21.0 Trump +16
Monmouth 8/20 - 8/23 453 LV 4.6 30.0 5.0 6.0 9.0 3.0 15.0 Trump +15
Augusta Chronicle 8/3 - 8/3 509 LV 4.3 31.0 4.0 2.0 14.0 3.0 10.0 Trump +17
Gravis Marketing 7/29 - 7/30 609 RV 4 34.0 3.0 6.0 11.0 3.0 11.0 Trump +23
FOX 5/Morris News 6/22 - 6/22 458 LV 4.5 10.0 3.0 5.0 19.0 0.0 13.0 Bush +6
Morning Consult 5/31 - 6/8 389 RV 5 2.0 6.0 8.0 11.0 0.0 12.0 Graham +2
Winthrop 4/4 - 4/12 956 LV 3.2 2.0 8.0 4.0 13.0 0.0 5.0 Walker +1
Gravis Marketing 3/26 - 3/27 1371 RV 3 0.0 11.0 6.0 17.0 0.0 6.0 Bush +1
Gravis Marketing 2/24 - 2/25 792 RV 3 0.0 2.0 6.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 Bush +2
PPP (D) 2/12 - 2/15 525 RV 4.3 0.0 3.0 0.0 19.0 0.0 13.0 Bush +1
NBC News/Marist 2/3 - 2/10 450 RV 4.6 0.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 0.0 10.0 Graham +2
Gravis Marketing 1/21 - 1/22 831 LV 3 0.0 9.0 9.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 Bush +7
Clemson 5/22 - 5/29 400 LV 6 0.0 9.0 6.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 Bush +12
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Kasich Carson Spread


Latest 2016 South Carolina Republican primary polls and aggregate PPD polling average for the second in the nation and first in the South primary. 21 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state’s 7 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all 3 of that district’s National Convention delegates.

Twenty-six (26)–including 10 base at-large delegates plus 16 bonus at-large delegates– are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide. In addition, 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the South Carolina’s Republican Party, will attend the convention as pledged delegates by virtue of their position.

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