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Monday, June 26, 2017
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2016 Texas Republican Primary

155 Delegates: Allocated Proportionally in Winner-Take-Most (March 1, 2016)

(Please Note: Total delegates include 10 at-large, 108 from 36 congressional districts, 3 party, and 34 bonus. Read below table for more on allocation.)

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Polling Data

PollsDateSampleMoECruzTrumpRubioKasichCarsonSpread
PPD Average 2/18 - 2/28 -- -- 36.6 27.7 17.6 6.9 6.0 Cruz +8.9
FOX 26/Opinion Savvy 2/28 - 2/28 712 LV 3.7 36.0 25.0 19.0 9.0 8.0 Cruz +11
Emerson 2/26 - 2/28 449 LV 4.6 35.0 32.0 16.0 9.0 4.0 Cruz +3
ARG 2/26 - 2/28 400 LV 5 33.0 32.0 17.0 7.0 6.0 Cruz +1
CBS News/YouGov 2/22 - 2/26 796 LV 5.6 42.0 31.0 19.0 4.0 4.0 Cruz +11
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 2/18 - 2/23 537 LV 4.2 39.0 26.0 16.0 6.0 8.0 Cruz +13
Monmouth 2/22 - 2/24 456 LV 4.6 38.0 23.0 21.0 5.0 6.0 Cruz +15
Emerson 2/21 - 2/23 446 LV 4.6 29.0 28.0 25.0 9.0 4.0 Cruz +1
KTVT-CBS 11 2/22 - 2/22 725 LV 3.6 33.0 25.0 15.0 8.0 6.0 Cruz +8
TEGNA/SurveyUSA 2/21 - 2/22 645 LV 3.9 32.0 32.0 17.0 6.0 5.0 Tie
Austin American-Statesman 2/19 - 2/22 620 LV 4 38.0 26.0 13.0 7.0 6.0 Cruz +12
University of Houston 2/12 - 2/22 415 LV 4.8 35.0 20.0 8.0 4.0 7.0 Cruz +15
UT/Texas Tribune 2/12 - 2/19 407 LV 3.5 37.0 29.0 15.0 5.0 4.0 Cruz +8
KTVT-CBS 11 1/25 - 1/26 1001 LV 3.1 30.0 25.0 12.0 3.0 5.0 Cruz +5
CBS News/YouGov 1/18 - 1/21 984 LV 4.4 45.0 30.0 8.0 1.0 5.0 Cruz +15
UT/Texas Tribune 10/30 - 11/8 542 RV 4.2 27.0 27.0 9.0 1.0 13.0 Tie
KTVT-CBS 11 10/23 - 10/24 1051 LV 3.1 14.0 22.0 7.0 0.0 23.0 Carson +1
Texas Lyceum 9/8 - 9/21 261 RV 6 16.0 21.0 3.0 1.0 12.0 Trump +5
FOX 26/Opinion Savvy 8/2 - 8/3 546 LV 4.1 20.0 19.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 Cruz +1
UT/Texas Tribune 6/5 - 6/14 504 RV 4.4 20.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 6.0 Cruz +8
UT/Texas Tribune 2/6 - 2/15 547 RV 4.2 20.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 9.0 Cruz +1
UT/Texas Tribune 10/10 - 10/19 560 RV 4.1 27.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 Cruz +13
UT/Texas Tribune 5/30 - 6/8 504 RV 4.4 33.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +24
PPP (D) 4/10 - 4/13 294 RV 5.7 25.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +11
UT/Texas Tribune 2/7 - 2/17 543 RV 4.2 28.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +18
PPP (D) 11/1 - 11/4 388 RV 5 32.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +19
UT/Texas Tribune 10/18 - 10/27 517 RV 4.3 32.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +22
PPP (D) 6/28 - 7/1 318 RV 5.5 27.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +12
UT/Texas Tribune 5/31 - 6/9 492 A 4.4 25.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 Cruz +12
PPP (D) 1/24 - 1/27 400 RV 4.9 0.0 0.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 Rubio +7
PollsDateSampleMoECruzTrumpRubioKasichCarsonSpread



Above is the table listing the latest 2016 Texas Republican Primary polls and aggregate PPD polling average for Lone Star State contest on March 1, Super Tuesday. All 155 of the delegates to the Republican National Convention are bound to candidates in the day of the Texas Republican Primary.

The 108 district delegates are allocated to candidates based on the voting results in each of the 36 congressional districts, each with 3 delegates a piece.

However, if a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%), then the candidate is allocated all 3 of the district’s delegates. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes (plurality) receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes receives 1 delegate. If no candidate receives 20% of the vote then the top 3 vote getters each receive 1 delegate.

If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%) that candidate receives all 47 of the remaining at-large delegates. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 2 candidates receive 20% or more of the vote, the 47 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally among those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote.

If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, the 47 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally to the candidate(s) receiving 20% or more of the vote and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes. If no candidate receives 20% of the vote, allocate the 47 at-large delegates proportionally.

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