2016 was the year Big Data beat Big Media analyzing and predicting results of the US presidential election, U.S. Senate elections and down-ballot contests.
Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight gives Donald Trump a 25% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton. Silver was wrong about Mr. Trump before and he’s wrong again.
Larry Sabato, of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, responded to Nate Silver on NewsmaxTV, appearing with Steve Malzberg on The Malzberg Show. Silver was just ostracized by Democrats for admitting Republicans are likely to retake the Senate. Sabato called Silver’s analysis “ridiculous,” but not for the reasons you may infer from other headlines.
Newly released Nate Silver predictions are typically long-awaited and revered by liberals, that is, so long as he gives them what they want to hear. Silver, just now, is beginning to view the 2014 midterm election cycle as we have seen it for months.