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U.S. Import and Export Prices for July: No Oil, No Inflation

Import, Export, Logistics concept – Map global partner connection of Container Cargo freight ship for Logistic Import Export background (Photo: AdobeStock/Elements of this image furnished by NASA)

U.S. import prices were unchanged and export prices fell sharply by 0.5% in July, following a 0.1% decline and 0.2% increase in June, respectively. The decline in export prices for July was driven by a 5.3% decline in agricultural export prices, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.

Without the price of oil, monthly inflation would be nonexistent.

All Imports

Prices for all U.S. imports were flat in July, fell 0.1% in June and rose 0.9% in May. For the year ending July, U.S. import prices saw the largest 12-month gain (4.8%) since the index rose 5.1% in February 2012. Import prices have not fallen on an over-the-year basis since the index fell 0.2% in October 2016.

That slightly beat the 4.7% consensus forecast.

All Exports

U.S. export prices rose 0.7% in May, but the decline in July was the first monthly decrease since June 2017 and the largest since the index fell 0.6% in May 2017. Overall export prices rose 4.3% between July 2017 and July 2018.

That missed the 5.3% consensus forecast, given the lower-than-expected prices for agricultural exports in July. The decline in agricultural exports for July was the largest monthly decline since the index fell 6.5% in October 2011.

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PPD Business Staff

PPD Business, the economy-reporting arm of People's Pundit Daily, is "making sense of current events." We are a no-holds barred, news reporting pundit of, by, and for the people.

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