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Poll: Republicans Now View Ted Cruz as Establishment, Not an Outsider

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz speaks to the crowd during a Conservative Leadership Project presidential forum in Columbia, South Carolina, on Friday, January 15, 2016. (Photo: AP Photo/Sean Rayford)

In the year of the outsider, the last name a Republican candidate should want to be branded as is “establishment.” However, with party elites and pols lining up to endorse him and award him their state’s delegates without a vote, it would appear that is what Donald Trump has managed to do to Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.

According to a new YouGov survey conducted for the Huffington Post, Republican primary voters no longer see Sen. Cruz as an outsider. More voters than not and ever (62%) now say he is more of an establishment candidate rather than an outsider.

Mr. Trump has made the debate about the party’s delegate selection process and alignment behind Sen. Cruz a top issue on the stump and interviews, and it’s working. In New York, nearly 70% of GOP primary voters said they wanted their next president to be from outside the political class and they broke big for Mr. Trump (85%).

Meanwhile, Sen. Cruz finished in third place behind Gov. John Kasich with an abysmal 14% of the vote. The results represent a marked shift among primary voters since December of 2015, when just 36% considered him part of the Republican Establishment.

As a result, Sen. Cruz’s image has taken a hit in recent polls. Another YouGov survey conducted for The Economist found he had a 56% favorability rating among Republican and Republican-leaning voters, but that is down significantly from 67% measured in January.

The HuffPost/YouGov poll consisted of 1,000 completed interviews conducted April 14-15 among U.S. adults, using a sample selected from YouGov’s opt-in online panel to match the demographics and other characteristics of the adult U.S. population.

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Richard D. Baris

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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Richard D. Baris

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