Since the 2012 presidential election, I have heard some seriously outrageous claims about the status of American politics, none of which favorable to the future of the Republican Party.
Republicans now hold a 3-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending August 4.
Even though Democrats have retaken the lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, voters are almost evenly divided when asked which party they trust more to handle the 15 important issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports, but they continue to favor Republicans most on the number one issue, the economy.
Republicans continue to hold a one-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending July 7, 2013, which is the third week in a row.
Republicans have regained the lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending June 30, 2013.
Thus far, I have scrutinized the 2014 electoral landscape for the House and gubernatorial races, and the 2014 Senate ratings seem to be a bit different. The political pendulum is swinging, which infers there is a Red State rising, but just how high is little less certain.
The Obama administration transformed their campaign apparatus into a public opinion machine just after the 2012 presidential election, and now they are gearing up to use it to sway opinion of the deeply unpopular Obamacare health care bill, or the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.
In a recent survey, Gallup found that Americans still rate the Republican Party – 39% – less favorably than the Democratic Party – 46%. However, both parties’ favorability ratings are down from November 2012, just after the presidential election. The Democrats’ favorability rating dropped more, down from 51%, which was a post-election bump just after President Barack Obama won re-election. Even though Americans’ ratings of the Democratic Party clearly show that bump is over, their views of the GOP are the lowest since May of 2010.
Rasmussen aside, many pollsters attempt to measure Americans’ views on economic fairness. Not only is it the case that they are usually wrong, but they are incredibly misleading because the measurements are simply too superficial. This has been a phenomena that the Democrats have long been able to capitalize on, and the GOP consistently underestimates; only to find on election day – much to their surprise – that they have been thumped.