Tuesday, September 19, 2017
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2018 House Election Projections Introduction

The 2018 House Battleground Congressional Districts Map and Table with ratings from the People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) Election Projection Model.

In 2018, Democrats will need a net gain of 24 seats to take back the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. There are only 23 Republican-held congressional districts that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election, while 12 Democrats represent districts that backed President Donald J. Trump.

Below you can view tables with historic performances nationwide and statewide.

2018 House Election Projections Table

2018 US House Congressional Districts

Since World War II, the president’s party lost seats in 16 out of 18 midterm elections. That includes 8 out of 9 midterms with a Republican president and 8 out of 9 midterms with a Democratic president. That may sound promising, but the PPD Election Projection Model analyzed all 18 and found a disturbing pattern for Democrats.

Midterm losses for the Democratic Party under a Democratic president were far more severe, losing an average of 33.5 seats during those 8 cycles. The worst post-World War II cycle for Democrats was the astounding 63-seat landslide loss during in the 2010 midterm election following the passage of ObamaCare.

Meanwhile, Republican Party’s midterm losses with their president in the White House averaged less than 21 seats (20.6).

Midterm Election Results Table: 1934 to 2014