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The People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll began on July 3, 2016 and will run until the presidential election in November, with updates posted by 12:00 noon EST. More details about the poll–including the questionnaire–under Methodology below the polling table.

Due to the number of requests, we are adding more data–including demographic vote shares and the number of repeat respondents (when applicable) per sample–to the tables. The PPD Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll follows level 1 AAPOR standards of disclosure and WAPOR/ESOMAR code of conduct.

The People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll is not sponsored by or affiliated with any political entity, party or organization. It is an independent survey funded by subscriptions and individual donations to PPD; fieldwork is conducted in-house.

DateSampleTrump (R)Clinton (D)Johnson (L)Stein (G)UndecidedSpread
11/7/2016 2230 LV (No Undecideds) 45.8 45.2 6.6 2.3 -- Trump +0.6
11/6/2016 2193 LV 45.1 44.5 3.2 2.2 5 Trump +0.6
11/5/2016 2154 LV 45.2 44.1 3.8 2.1 4.8 Trump 1.1
11/4/2016 2188 LV 45.1 44.2 3.9 1.9 4.9 Trump +0.9
11/3/2016 2231 LV 44.5 43.3 4.1 2.2 5.9 Trump +1.2
11/2/2016 2137 LV 44.9 42.5 4.5 2.3 5.8 Trump +2.4
11/1/2016 2109 LV 44.7 42.1 4.9 2.1 5.6 Trump +2.6
10/31/2016 2123 LV 44.1 41.7 5.8 2.3 6.2 Trump +2.4
10/30/2016 2099 LV 43.9 41.9 5.9 2.5 5.8 Trump +2.0
10/29/2016 1923 LV 43.3 42.1 6.4 2.4 6 Trump +1.2
10/28/2016 2065 LV 43.5 42.4 6.1 2.4 5.6 Trump +1.1
10/27/2016 2053 LV 42.4 42.2 6.8 2.6 5.8 Trump +0.2
10/26/2016 2088 LV 41.4 41.8 8.1 3.1 5.6 Clinton +0.4
10/25/2016 2123 LV 41.2 41.4 8.3 3.3 5.9 Clinton +0.2
10/24/2016 2102 LV 41.1 41.5 8.1 3.5 5.8 Clinton +0.4
10/23/2016 2074 LV 41.8 41.2 7.6 3.9 5.5 Trump +0.6
10/22/2016 2021 LV 42.7 41.3 7.1 4.2 4.7 Trump +1.4
10/21/2016 2044 LV 42.6 41.2 7.4 4.4 4.4 Trump +1.4
10/20/2016 2034 LV 42.5 41.3 7.6 4.3 4.3 Trump +1.2
10/19/2016 2042 LV 42.8 41.2 7.2 3.8 5 Trump +1.6
10/18/2016 2072 LV 40.2 41.9 7.8 3.2 6.9 Clinton +1.7
10/17/2016 2021 LV 42.6 41.4 6.9 2.9 6.7 Trump +1.2
10/16/2016 2089 LV 42.4 41.8 7.2 2.8 5.8 Trump +0.6
10/15/2016 2145 LV 43.1 41.5 7.1 2.7 5.6 Trump +1.6
10/14/2016 1974 LV 43.5 41.7 6.9 2.6 5.6 Trump +1.8
10/13/2016 2018 LV 41.5 40.9 7.1 2.4 8.1 Trump +0.6
10/12/2016 2013 LV 40.6 41.4 7.4 2.1 8.5 Clinton +0.8
10/11/2016 2001 LV 39.4 42.5 7.3 2.3 7.5 Clinton +3.1
10/10/2016 1915 LV 39.1 42.1 8.5 3 7.3 Clinton +3.0
10/9/2016 1913 LV 38.2 41 8.7 3.2 8.9 Clinton +2.8
10/8/2016 1921 LV 38.8 41.4 9.1 3.1 7.6 Clinton +2.6
10/7/2016 1903 LV 40.5 41 8.3 2.6 7.6 Clinton +0.5
10/6/2016 1888 LV 41.1 41.9 7.8 1.9 8.3 Clinton +0.8
10/5/2016 1896 LV 42.7 40.9 7.6 2.1 6.7 Trump +1.8
10/4/2016 1912 LV 42.5 41.1 7.8 2.2 6.4 Trump +1.4
10/3/2016 1925 LV 43.2 41.5 7.9 2 5.4 Trump +1.7
10/2/2016 1901 LV 42.1 41.9 8.1 2.3 5 Trump +0.2
10/1/2016 1894 LV 41.5 42.1 8.8 2.1 5.4 Clinton +0.6
9/30/2016 1801 LV 40.9 43.1 9.3 2.3 4.3 Clinton +2.2
9/29/2016 1838 LV 41.5 42.6 9.1 2.2 4.6 Clinton +1.1
9/28/2016 1746 LV 41.1 41.5 9.9 2.7 4.8 Clinton +0.4
9/27/2016 1887 LV 42.9 40.5 9.6 2.1 5.3 Trump +2.4
9/26/2016 1856 LV 43.3 40.9 8.7 2.4 4.7 Trump +2.4
9/25/2016 1862 LV 43.2 41.1 9.1 2.2 4.4 Trump +2.1
9/24/2016 1843 LV 43.3 40.9 10.1 2.6 3.1 Trump +2.4
9/23/2016 1823 LV 43.1 41.1 9.5 2.7 3.6 Trump +2.0
9/22/2016 1766 LV 42.9 39.8 9.8 3.3 4.2 Trump +3.1
9/21/2016 1861 LV 43.4 39.2 9.2 2.4 5.8 Trump +4.2
9/20/2016 1654 LV 44.1 40.9 9.6 2.8 2.6 Trump +3.2
9/19/2016 1602 LV 44.5 40.2 9.5 3.2 2.6 Trump +4.3
9/18/2016 1291 LV 45.4 40.1 9.1 3.4 2 Trump +5.3
9/17/2016 1494 LV 45.3 39.8 9.3 3.2 2.6 Trump +5.5
9/16/2016 1501 LV 45.1 40.6 9.1 3.1 2.1 Trump +4.5
9/15/2016 1553 LV 45.5 40.4 8.6 3.1 2.4 Trump +5.1
9/14/2016 1513 LV 45.4 40.2 8.3 2.8 3.3 Trump +5.2
9/13/2016 1417 LV 45.1 41 8.1 3.2 2.6 Trump +4.1
9/12/2016 1503 LV 44.7 41.4 7.8 2.9 3.2 Trump +3.3
9/11/2016 1465 LV 44.9 41.9 7.2 2.6 3.4 Trump +3.0
9/10/2016 1402 LV 44.5 42.2 6.5 2.8 4 Trump +2.3
9/9/2016 1101 LV 43.3 41.9 7.1 3.1 4.6 Trump +1.4
9/8/2016 1388 LV 42.4 42.1 7.2 3.1 5.2 Trump +0.3
9/7/2016 1243 LV 42.2 42.2 7 3.3 5.1 Tie
9/6/2016 1095 LV 42.3 42.1 6.9 3 5.7 Trump +0.2
9/5/2016 1142 LV 43.6 41.2 7.2 2.9 5.1 Trump +2.4
9/4/2016 1225 LV 42.1 40.1 7.8 3.9 6.1 Trump +2.0
9/3/2016 1232 LV 41.9 39.2 8.1 4.1 6.7 Trump +2.7
9/2/2016 1304 LV 42.3 40.1 7.9 3.4 6.3 Trump +2.2
9/1/2016 1002 LV 41.1 40.3 7.5 3.3 7.9 Trump +0.8
8/31/2016 1297 LV 42.2 40.2 8.2 3.1 6.3 Trump +2.0
8/30/2016 1214 LV 43.1 41.7 9.1 2.8 3.3 Trump +1.4
8/29/2016 1305 LV 42.4 42 9.9 2.2 3.5 Trump +0.4
8/28/2016 1102 LV 41.9 42.1 10.3 2 3.7 Clinton +0.2
8/27/2016 1337 LV 41.5 42.2 11 2.1 3.2 Clinton +0.7
8/26/2016 1224 LV 40.8 42.1 10.6 2.6 3.9 Clinton +1.3
8/25/2016 1201 LV 42.1 41.3 10.1 2.9 3.6 Trump +0.8
8/24/2016 1299 LV 42.3 40.8 9.5 3.2 4.2 Trump +1.5
8/23/2016 1345 LV 42 41.1 8.8 4.1 4 Trump +0.9
8/22/2016 1229 LV 43.2 42.6 7.9 3.6 2.7 Trump +0.6
8/21/2016 1182 LV 43.1 41.7 7.2 2.9 5.1 Trump +1.4
8/20/2016 1161 LV 42.9 42 7.1 3.5 4.5 Trump +0.9
8/19/2016 1080 LV 41.5 42.1 7.9 3.3 5.2 Clinton +0.6
8/18/2016 1181 LV 41.3 42.5 8.1 3.1 5 Clinton +1.2
8/17/2016 1202 LV 40 41.1 9.6 3.7 5.6 Clinton +1.1
8/16/2016 1187 LV 40.2 41.8 9.2 4.3 4.5 Clinton +1.6
8/15/2016 1306 LV 39.9 42.2 9.8 4.1 4 Clinton +2.3
8/14/2016 1237 LV 40.5 43.5 8.7 3.5 3.8 Clinton +3.0
8/13/2016 1409 LV 40.3 44.9 8.9 4.1 1.8 Clinton +4.6
8/12/2016 1396 LV 41.1 43.3 9.5 3.9 2.2 Clinton +2.2
8/11/2016 1389 LV 41.2 43.2 8.6 3.5 3.5 Clinton +2.0
8/10/2016 1404 LV 40.9 44.5 8.4 3.7 2.5 Clinton +3.6
8/9/2016 1409 LV 41.1 44.9 8.1 3.9 2 Clinton +3.8
8/8/2016 1343 LV 41.2 46.9 6.8 4 1.1 Clinton +5.7
8/7/2016 1187 LV 41.4 47.3 6.3 3.3 1.7 Clinton +5.9
8/6/2016 1292 LV 42.6 46.1 6.1 3.1 2.1 Clinton +3.5
8/5/2016 1344 LV 43.6 45.3 5.9 3.2 2 Clinton +1.7
8/4/2016 1304 LV 43.5 45.1 6.4 3.1 1.9 Clinton +1.6
8/3/2016 1202 LV 43.8 44.3 5 4.3 2.6 Clinton +0.5
8/2/2016 1299 LV 43.9 44.1 4.9 4.1 3 Clinton +0.2
8/1/2016 1397 LV 44.8 43.3 5.9 4.2 1.8 Trump +1.5
7/31/2016 1494 LV 45.9 43.1 5.1 4.3 1.6 Trump +2.8
7/30/2016 1505 LV (3-Day) 46.8 42.2 4 4.4 2.6 Trump +4.6
7/29/2016 3095 RV 47.6 42.1 3 4.3 3 Trump +5.5
7/28/2016 3023 RV 47.8 41.5 4 3.9 2.8 Trump +6.3
7/27/2016 3056 RV 48.1 40.5 4.1 4.1 3.2 Trump +7.6
7/26/2016 2913 RV 47.4 40.2 4.4 4.1 3.9 Trump +7.2
7/25/2016 2948 RV 46.8 41.1 4.3 3.1 4.7 Trump +5.7
7/24/2016 2881 RV 45.3 41.1 4.9 2.5 6.2 Trump +3.2
7/23/2016 2802 RV 45.5 41.9 4.9 2.1 5.6 Trump +3.6
7/22/2016 2723 RV 44.3 42.1 5.8 1.8 6 Trump +2.2
7/21/2016 2934 RV 44.1 42.9 7.9 2.6 2.5 Trump +1.2
7/20/2016 2902 RV 42.7 42.1 9.3 3.2 2.7 Trump +0.6
7/19/2016 2852 RV 42.8 42.2 9.1 3.1 2.8 Trump +0.6
7/18/2016 2774 RV 42.9 40.4 7.1 1.8 7.8 Trump +2.5
7/17/2016 2865 RV 42.8 39.8 6.8 1.7 8.9 Trump +3
7/16/2016 2756 RV 42.4 40.1 6.8 2.1 8.6 Trump +2.3
7/15/2016 2798 RV 42.6 40.3 8.1 1.8 7.2 Trump +2.3
7/14/2016 2634 RV 42.6 41.2 9.2 2.3 4.7 Trump +1.4
7/13/2016 2557 RV 43.4 43.2 7.8 3.1 2.5 Trump +0.2
7/12/2016 2486 RV 43.6 43.4 6.7 1.9 3.5 Trump +0.2
7/11/2016 2405 RV 43.5 43.7 6.9 2.4 3.5 Clinton +0.2
7/10/2016 2334 RV (7-Day) 41.7 43.6 8.4 1.8 4.5 Clinton +1.9


CandidateTotalRepublicanDemocratIndependentWhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtherMenWomen18-2930-4950-5960+
Date 11/6/2016 - D/R/I: 40/35/25
Trump (R) 45.1 89.0 7.0 45.0 56.0 12.0 30.0 31.0 53.0 39.0 31.0 52.0 46.0 57.0
Clinton (D) 44.5 5.0 89.0 31.0 33.0 83.0 68.0 64.0 36.0 50.0 51.0 41.0 48.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 3.2 2.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 1.0
Stein (G) 2.2 0.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
Date 11/4/2016 - D/R/I: 40/35/25
Trump (R) 45.1 89.0 7.0 44.0 56.0 11.0 30.0 33.0 53.0 39.0 33.0 51.0 46.0 56.0
Clinton (D) 44.2 5.0 89.0 30.0 33.0 81.0 68.0 62.0 36.0 50.0 50.0 42.0 48.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 3.9 2.0 1.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 1.9 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/31/2016 - D/R/I: 40/35/25
Trump (R) 44.1 87.0 8.0 42.0 53.0 12.0 31.0 38.0 52.0 40.0 30.0 46.0 44.0 54.0
Clinton (D) 41.7 3.0 86.0 26.0 33.0 74.0 65.0 52.0 33.0 47.0 48.0 43.0 44.0 40.0
Johnson (L) 5.8 3.0 3.0 14.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 2.3 0.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/28/2016 - D/R/I: 41/37/22
Trump (R) 43.5 83.0 10.0 41.0 52.0 13.0 29.0 32.0 50.0 38.0 20.0 49.0 43.0 53.0
Clinton (D) 42.4 7.0 82.0 24.0 32.0 79.0 65.0 45.0 33.0 48.0 36.0 41.0 45.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 6.1 3.0 4.0 15.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 2.0
Stein (G) 2.4 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/24/2016 - D/R/I: 43/37/20
Clinton (D) 41.5 7.0 80.0 22.0 31.0 75.0 66.0 47.0 33.0 48.0 34.0 38.0 44.0 43.0
Trump (R) 41.1 76.0 10.0 40.0 49.0 8.0 28.0 35.0 48.0 31.0 21.0 44.0 45.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 8.1 7.0 6.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 14.0 6.0 22.0 7.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.5 0.0 4.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/22/2016 - D/R/I: 43/37/20
Trump (R) 42.7 80.0 12.0 40.0 50.0 12.0 27.0 30.0 49.0 36.0 20.0 47.0 46.0 44.0
Clinton (D) 41.4 7.0 78.0 26.0 31.0 75.0 67.0 51.0 33.0 48.0 40.0 38.0 41.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 7.1 6.0 5.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 6.0 20.0 8.0 5.0 2.0
Stein (G) 4.2 0.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0
Date 10/21/2016 - D/R/I: 43/37/20
Trump (R) 42.6 79.0 13.0 40.0 50.0 12.0 27.0 30.0 49.0 36.0 20.0 47.0 46.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 41.3 8.0 78.0 26.0 31.0 75.0 67.0 51.0 33.0 48.0 38.0 38.0 42.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 7.4 7.0 5.0 15.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 6.0 20.0 8.0 5.0 2.0
Stein (G) 4.4 0.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0
Date 10/20/2016 - D/R/I: 42/37/21
Trump (R) 42.5 79.0 12.0 40.0 50.0 12.0 27.0 30.0 49.0 36.0 20.0 47.0 45.0 44.0
Clinton (D) 41.3 8.0 79.0 26.0 31.0 75.0 67.0 51.0 33.0 48.0 38.0 38.0 43.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 7.6 6.0 5.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 6.0 20.0 8.0 5.0 2.0
Stein (G) 4.3 0.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0
Date 10/17/2016 - D/R/I: 42/37/21
Trump (R) 42.6 79.0 13.0 40.0 51.0 11.0 27.0 30.0 49.0 36.0 20.0 47.0 45.0 47.0
Clinton (D) 41.4 9.0 79.0 25.0 30.0 75.0 67.0 51.0 33.0 48.0 34.0 38.0 43.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 6.9 4.0 4.0 19.0 8.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 21.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.9 0.0 3.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/15/2016 - D/R/I: 43/37/20
Trump (R) 43.1 81.0 10.0 43.0 52.0 12.0 29.0 32.0 50.0 37.0 20.0 48.0 44.0 47.0
Clinton (D) 41.5 7.0 80.0 22.0 31.0 75.0 66.0 47.0 33.0 48.0 34.0 38.0 44.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 7.1 5.0 5.0 15.0 8.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 21.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.7 0.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/14/2016 - D/R/I: 43/37/20
Trump (R) 43.5 82.0 11.0 42.0 52.0 13.0 29.0 32.0 50.0 37.0 20.0 48.0 44.0 47.0
Clinton (D) 41.7 8.0 80.0 21.0 31.0 75.0 67.0 47.0 33.0 48.0 34.0 38.0 44.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 6.9 5.0 5.0 15.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 20.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.6 0.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/13/2016
Trump (R) 41.5 81.0 9.0 40.0 51.0 10.0 29.0 32.0 48.0 33.0 21.0 44.0 43.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 40.9 8.0 79.0 24.0 31.0 75.0 66.0 45.0 31.0 47.0 35.0 37.0 44.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 7.1 6.0 5.0 15.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 11.0 4.0 21.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.4 0.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/12/2016
Clinton (D) 41.4 10.0 80.0 22.0 31.0 74.0 65.0 45.0 32.0 46.0 34.0 39.0 45.0 44.0
Trump (R) 40.6 78.0 10.0 42.0 50.0 8.0 28.0 35.0 46.0 30.0 20.0 43.0 43.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 7.4 6.0 5.0 15.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 6.0 22.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.1 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/6/2016
Clinton (D) 41.9 9.0 80.0 21.0 31.0 74.0 65.0 45.0 33.0 48.0 36.0 39.0 44.0 45.0
Trump (R) 41.1 76.0 10.0 40.0 49.0 8.0 28.0 35.0 48.0 31.0 21.0 44.0 45.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 7.8 6.0 5.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 6.0 22.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 1.9 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/3/2016
Trump (R) 43.2 77.0 8.0 45.0 51.0 9.0 27.0 45.0 48.0 33.0 23.0 45.0 44.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 41.5 6.0 80.0 26.0 30.0 75.0 64.0 39.0 30.0 49.0 34.0 39.0 44.0 44.0
Johnson (L) 7.9 7.0 6.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 14.0 6.0 22.0 6.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/3/2016
Trump (R) 42.1 77.0 8.0 44.0 50.0 9.0 27.0 45.0 48.0 33.0 23.0 45.0 44.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 41.9 6.0 80.0 27.0 30.0 75.0 64.0 39.0 30.0 49.0 34.0 39.0 45.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 8.1 7.0 6.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 14.0 6.0 22.0 7.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.3 1.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 10/1/2016
Clinton (D) 42.1 7.0 80.0 26.0 30.0 74.0 63.0 45.0 30.0 50.0 35.0 40.0 44.0 45.0
Trump (R) 41.5 78.0 7.0 44.0 50.0 9.0 28.0 39.0 48.0 32.0 23.0 45.0 44.0 45.0
Johnson (L) 8.8 7.0 6.0 21.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 14.0 6.0 22.0 7.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.1 1.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/27/2016
Trump (R) 42.9 76.0 11.0 46.0 52.0 12.0 29.0 40.0 49.0 33.0 25.0 42.0 46.0 47.0
Clinton (D) 40.9 8.0 74.0 25.0 29.0 75.0 58.0 44.0 30.0 46.0 33.0 42.0 42.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 9.6 5.0 7.0 18.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 14.0 8.0 24.0 9.0 6.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.6 1.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/24/2016
Trump (R) 43.3 76.0 11.0 49.0 52.0 13.0 30.0 41.0 50.0 36.0 25.0 43.0 47.0 49.0
Clinton (D) 40.9 8.0 75.0 26.0 29.0 77.0 58.0 46.0 30.0 46.0 37.0 41.0 42.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 10.1 5.0 4.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 14.0 8.0 19.0 10.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.6 1.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/17/2016
Trump (R) 45.3 82.0 11.0 50.0 54.0 15.0 30.0 42.0 50.0 38.0 26.0 43.0 48.0 50.0
Clinton (D) 39.8 6.0 75.0 24.0 29.0 77.0 58.0 45.0 30.0 45.0 38.0 41.0 41.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 9.3 7.0 7.0 19.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.2 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/16/2016
Trump (R) 45.1 82.0 11.0 50.0 53.0 15.0 31.0 42.0 51.0 37.0 26.0 43.0 46.0 49.0
Clinton (D) 40.6 5.0 80.0 22.0 28.0 78.0 58.0 45.0 30.0 46.0 39.0 40.0 40.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 9.1 7.0 6.0 17.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.1 1.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/14/2016
Trump (R) 45.4 82.0 11.0 50.0 54.0 15.0 30.0 42.0 50.0 38.0 26.0 43.0 48.0 50.0
Clinton (D) 40.2 6.0 73.0 24.0 29.0 77.0 58.0 45.0 30.0 45.0 38.0 41.0 41.0 43.0
Johnson (L) 8.3 7.0 9.0 17.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.8 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/13/2016
Trump (R) 45.1 82.0 13.0 50.0 53.0 15.0 31.0 43.0 51.0 38.0 26.0 43.0 44.0 49.0
Clinton (D) 41.0 6.0 72.0 24.0 31.0 79.0 64.0 45.0 30.0 46.0 40.0 39.0 42.0 40.0
Johnson (L) 8.1 7.0 9.0 17.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.2 1.0 4.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/12/2016
Trump (R) 44.7 77.0 13.0 47.0 51.0 14.0 29.0 37.0 48.0 34.0 26.0 43.0 45.0 48.0
Clinton (D) 41.4 6.0 72.0 25.0 28.0 81.0 64.0 42.0 32.0 45.0 40.0 39.0 41.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 7.8 7.0 6.0 17.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.9 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/11/2016
Trump (R) 44.9 77.0 13.0 47.0 51.0 13.0 29.0 37.0 48.0 34.0 26.0 43.0 45.0 48.0
Clinton (D) 41.9 6.0 74.0 25.0 28.0 81.0 64.0 42.0 31.0 46.0 40.0 39.0 42.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 7.2 7.0 5.0 17.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 5.0 17.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.6 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/10/2016
Trump (R) 44.5 73.0 15.0 48.0 51.0 11.0 30.0 38.0 47.0 35.0 29.0 47.0 45.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 42.2 8.0 73.0 25.0 29.0 81.0 63.0 44.0 31.0 43.0 42.0 38.0 42.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 6.5 8.0 5.0 17.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 6.0 18.0 11.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.8 1.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0
Date 9/9/2016
Trump (R) 43.3 73.0 14.0 48.0 52.0 13.0 29.0 37.0 48.0 34.0 29.0 44.0 45.0 47.0
Clinton (D) 41.9 6.0 74.0 23.0 28.0 81.0 64.0 42.0 31.0 46.0 40.0 38.0 42.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 7.1 7.0 5.0 17.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 5.0 18.0 9.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.1 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/8/2016
Trump (R) 42.4 71.0 15.0 47.0 50.0 10.0 30.0 37.0 48.0 33.0 28.0 45.0 44.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 42.1 7.0 72.0 24.0 27.0 77.0 61.0 42.0 33.0 44.0 40.0 38.0 43.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 7.2 7.0 5.0 19.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 12.0 5.0 19.0 8.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.1 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/6/2016
Trump (R) 42.3 72.0 13.0 48.0 49.0 11.0 29.0 37.0 47.0 35.0 28.0 46.0 44.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 42.1 6.0 75.0 24.0 28.0 82.0 62.0 43.0 32.0 44.0 41.0 37.0 43.0 40.0
Johnson (L) 6.9 6.0 4.0 17.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 17.0 10.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/5/2016
Trump (R) 43.6 73.0 15.0 47.0 50.0 11.0 30.0 38.0 47.0 35.0 29.0 47.0 45.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 41.2 8.0 73.0 25.0 29.0 81.0 63.0 44.0 31.0 43.0 42.0 38.0 42.0 41.0
Johnson (L) 7.2 8.0 5.0 17.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 6.0 18.0 11.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 2.9 1.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0
Date 9/4/2016
Trump (R) 42.1 71.0 15.0 46.0 49.0 9.0 30.0 37.0 48.0 33.0 28.0 45.0 44.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 40.1 9.0 72.0 24.0 27.0 77.0 61.0 42.0 33.0 44.0 40.0 38.0 43.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 7.8 9.0 5.0 19.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 12.0 5.0 19.0 8.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.9 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
Date 9/3/2016
Trump (R) 41.9 73.0 13.0 43.0 47.0 12.0 29.0 37.0 46.0 34.0 29.0 45.0 45.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 39.2 7.0 75.0 25.0 29.0 75.0 57.0 42.0 31.0 43.0 38.0 37.0 41.0 39.0
Johnson (L) 8.1 7.0 4.0 20.0 10.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 13.0 6.0 18.0 8.0 5.0 4.0
Stein (G) 4.1 1.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Date 9/2/2016
Trump (R) 42.3 73.0 14.0 44.0 48.0 10.0 30.0 38.0 47.0 35.0 31.0 44.0 44.0 46.0
Clinton (D) 40.1 8.0 74.0 26.0 31.0 76.0 59.0 42.0 33.0 45.0 40.0 39.0 42.0 40.0
Johnson (L) 7.9 9.0 4.0 19.0 9.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 12.0 5.0 17.0 8.0 4.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.4 1.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Date 9/1/2016
Trump (R) 41.1 71.0 14.0 41.0 47.0 8.0 27.0 36.0 46.0 33.0 30.0 44.0 41.0 45.0
Clinton (D) 40.3 8.0 73.0 24.0 31.0 78.0 58.0 43.0 34.0 46.0 39.0 40.0 41.0 42.0
Johnson (L) 7.5 10.0 5.0 18.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 11.0 4.0 18.0 7.0 3.0 4.0
Stein (G) 3.3 1.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0


Totals may not equal 100% exactly due to rounding.
CandidateExtremelyVeryModeratelySlightlyNot At All
Date 11/5/2016
Trump (R) 68.0 22.0 5.0 3.0 3.0
Clinton (D) 54.0 22.0 10.0 6.0 4.0
Johnson (L) 30.0 32.0 20.0 9.0 9.0
Stein (G) 34.0 28.0 20.0 8.0 5.0
Date 11/4/2016
Trump (R) 65.0 20.0 8.0 3.0 4.0
Clinton (D) 52.0 22.0 15.0 7.0 4.0
Johnson (L) 28.0 30.0 20.0 11.0 11.0
Stein (G) 34.0 25.0 20.0 6.0 5.0
Date 10/31/2016
Trump (R) 61.0 18.0 14.0 4.0 3.0
Clinton (D) 48.0 19.0 18.0 10.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 32.0 29.0 19.0 13.0 11.0
Stein (G) 31.0 34.0 33.0 7.0 7.0
Date 10/28/2016
Trump (R) 61.0 20.0 12.0 4.0 3.0
Clinton (D) 50.0 19.0 15.0 10.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 30.0 27.0 22.0 10.0 11.0
Stein (G) 25.0 31.0 30.0 6.0 8.0
Date 10/23/2016
Trump (R) 54.0 26.0 15.0 3.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 49.0 21.0 10.0 11.0 9.0
Johnson (L) 32.0 26.0 20.0 13.0 10.0
Stein (G) 33.0 22.0 44.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/20/2016
Trump (R) 60.0 24.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 50.0 22.0 12.0 14.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 40.0 44.0 10.0 3.0 3.0
Stein (G) 38.0 32.0 32.0 5.0 3.0
Date 10/19/2016
Trump (R) 59.0 23.0 14.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 49.0 21.0 13.0 10.0 11.0
Johnson (L) 38.0 50.0 6.0 2.0 4.0
Stein (G) 35.0 29.0 31.0 7.0 3.0
Date 10/15/2016
Trump (R) 58.0 22.0 11.0 5.0 4.0
Clinton (D) 47.0 20.0 12.0 11.0 10.0
Johnson (L) 24.0 33.0 32.0 5.0 6.0
Stein (G) 38.0 31.0 17.0 6.0 8.0
Date 10/14/2016
Trump (R) 55.0 23.0 15.0 4.0 3.0
Clinton (D) 42.0 19.0 16.0 11.0 12.0
Johnson (L) 38.0 50.0 6.0 2.0 4.0
Stein (G) 35.0 29.0 31.0 7.0 3.0
Date 10/11/2016
Clinton (D) 33.0 33.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
Trump (R) 56.0 21.0 13.0 6.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 33.0 33.0 15.0 10.0 11.0
Stein (G) 31.0 21.0 39.0 5.0 3.0
Date 10/6/2016
Clinton (D) 35.0 26.0 23.0 12.0 5.0
Trump (R) 63.0 20.0 11.0 4.0 2.0
Johnson (L) 32.0 26.0 20.0 13.0 10.0
Stein (G) 33.0 22.0 44.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/5/2016
Trump (R) 64.0 21.0 10.0 5.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 41.0 26.0 29.0 12.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 32.0 26.0 20.0 12.0 11.0
Stein (G) 31.0 23.0 45.0 1.0 1.0
Date 10/3/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 8.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 43.0 21.0 17.0 19.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 35.0 53.0 5.0 3.0 4.0
Stein (G) 39.0 33.0 20.0 7.0 2.0
Date 10/1/2016
Clinton (D) 30.0 38.0 12.0 12.0 8.0
Trump (R) 60.0 22.0 12.0 4.0 2.0
Johnson (L) 35.0 42.0 15.0 8.0 1.0
Stein (G) 33.0 35.0 22.0 6.0 4.0
Date 9/28/2016
Clinton (D) 51.0 19.0 21.0 3.0 6.0
Trump (R) 64.0 20.0 10.0 4.0 2.0
Johnson (L) 35.0 53.0 5.0 3.0 4.0
Stein (G) 45.0 15.0 30.0 8.0 2.0
Date 9/24/2016
Trump (R) 67.0 20.0 10.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 35.0 27.0 14.0 8.0 16.0
Johnson (L) 19.0 48.0 29.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 39.0 31.0 22.0 6.0 3.0
Date 9/23/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 18.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 38.0 23.0 12.0 12.0 17.0
Johnson (L) 17.0 38.0 39.0 4.0 2.0
Stein (G) 38.0 33.0 21.0 8.0 1.0
Date 9/21/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 20.0 10.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 40.0 21.0 14.0 10.0 17.0
Johnson (L) 15.0 40.0 41.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 39.0 33.0 20.0 7.0 2.0
Date 9/20/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 8.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 45.0 28.0 14.0 9.0 4.0
Johnson (L) 24.0 31.0 34.0 6.0 5.0
Stein (G) 40.0 30.0 16.0 5.0 9.0
Date 9/19/2016
Trump (R) 64.0 20.0 10.0 4.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 46.0 21.0 21.0 8.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 35.0 53.0 5.0 3.0 4.0
Stein (G) 45.0 15.0 30.0 8.0 2.0
Date 9/18/2016
Trump (R) 62.0 22.0 14.0 1.0 1.0
Clinton (D) 44.0 27.0 20.0 3.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 25.0 31.0 30.0 6.0 8.0
Stein (G) 42.0 26.0 21.0 3.0 8.0
Date 9/17/2016
Trump (R) 67.0 23.0 7.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 45.0 31.0 24.0 5.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 48.0 33.0 9.0 8.0 2.0
Stein (G) 40.0 33.0 12.0 7.0 8.0
Date 9/16/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 25.0 5.0 3.0 1.0
Clinton (D) 41.0 30.0 18.0 6.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 36.0 11.0 6.0 2.0
Stein (G) 42.0 32.0 11.0 8.0 7.0
Date 9/15/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 25.0 5.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 41.0 30.0 18.0 5.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 36.0 11.0 5.0 3.0
Stein (G) 42.0 32.0 11.0 6.0 9.0
Date 9/14/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 10.0 1.0 1.0
Clinton (D) 44.0 27.0 20.0 3.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 30.0 31.0 25.0 8.0 6.0
Stein (G) 42.0 26.0 21.0 3.0 8.0
Date 9/12/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 8.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 45.0 28.0 14.0 9.0 4.0
Johnson (L) 44.0 31.0 14.0 6.0 5.0
Stein (G) 40.0 30.0 16.0 5.0 9.0
Date 9/11/2016
Trump (R) 64.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 34.0 25.0 26.0 9.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 38.0 13.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 45.0 25.0 18.0 4.0 8.0
Date 9/10/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 8.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 45.0 28.0 14.0 9.0 4.0
Johnson (L) 44.0 31.0 14.0 6.0 5.0
Stein (G) 40.0 30.0 16.0 5.0 9.0
Date 9/9/2016
Trump (R) 64.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 34.0 25.0 26.0 9.0 5.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 38.0 13.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 45.0 25.0 18.0 4.0 8.0
Date 9/8/2016
Trump (R) 63.0 21.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 36.0 26.0 25.0 8.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 38.0 13.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 47.0 23.0 16.0 5.0 9.0
Date 9/6/2016
Trump (R) 66.0 22.0 10.0 1.0 1.0
Clinton (D) 44.0 27.0 20.0 3.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 30.0 31.0 25.0 8.0 6.0
Stein (G) 42.0 26.0 21.0 3.0 8.0
Date 9/5/2016
Trump (R) 65.0 23.0 8.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 40.0 31.0 19.0 5.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 44.0 25.0 21.0 7.0 3.0
Stein (G) 39.0 29.0 19.0 8.0 5.0
Date 9/4/2016
Trump (R) 63.0 21.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 35.0 27.0 25.0 7.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 39.0 12.0 3.0 2.0
Stein (G) 44.0 25.0 18.0 4.0 9.0
Date 9/3/2016
Trump (R) 68.0 20.0 6.0 4.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 42.0 21.0 25.0 8.0 8.0
Johnson (L) 41.0 47.0 6.0 2.0 4.0
Stein (G) 48.0 12.0 30.0 8.0 2.0
Date 9/2/2016
Trump (R) 63.0 21.0 12.0 2.0 2.0
Clinton (D) 36.0 26.0 25.0 8.0 6.0
Johnson (L) 45.0 38.0 13.0 2.0 2.0
Stein (G) 47.0 23.0 16.0 5.0 9.0


Totals may not equal 100% exactly due to rounding.
election-2016-trump-vs-clinton-graphic-no-border
First round of PPD Battleground State Polls for release on Wednesday, October 25, 2016 at 6:00 PM EST were conducted from October 20-24. Top lines for all, but detailed crosstab data will be available only to subscribers.

About the People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll

Respondents

The survey’s daily results (for those posted on 7/29/16), were based on interviews conducted via Internet panel nationwide and vary daily (400+ target). Top line results for the first day represented a rolling weekly average, or the last seven days, and results will now represent a three-day average. Interviews were NOT conducted on Independence Day (July 4). The number of respondents will grow throughout the cycle and interviews are repeated.

Sample

All responses in the sample should be treated as “opt-in Internet panel” even though a percentage of respondents were specifically targeted based on registration status (more on that below in population). They are still ultimately considered opt-in and we do NOT treat them as a random sample. Respondents either received a mailer, an email, responded to social media ads or a website-based ad, or contacted us through another mode.

During screening or initial interviews, respondents are asked to give their names, contact information (i.e. email and/or phone), as well as the city and zip code where they are registered or plan to register to vote. This is so we can attempt to re-interview, to obtain regional data etc. The information is also used to verify registration status when possible (based on the state) for respondents who were not already identified.

We’ll attempt to contact a respondent for a repeat interview up to 10 times before removing them from the panel.

Population

The top line results are of likely voters, or at least our best estimate of registered voters we view to be most likely to vote based on past voting history, enthusiasm and registration status. We do not includes respondents who report they are not registered during initial interviews in the results, but also don’t immediately remove them as a potential panelist. They may register in the future and we view them as worthy of a follow-up. We do not completely eliminate them and will follow up to reduce the probability we will exclude potential new voters.

If you’d like to inquire about participation, you can do so by contacting us through email here. We are looking to expand our panel with those who are willing to conduct repeat interviews, are of age, eligible to vote and are qualified via a screening questionnaire. Include contact information, as well as zip code and/or city and state.

Weighting the Results

The People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll does not weight based on party affiliation (party ID). Polling results are weighted based on the U.S. Census Current Population Survey for demographics such age, sex, race, education and region. It uses a likely voter model based on responses to screening questions relating to prior voting history, enthusiasm and registration status etc.

The poll does oversample, but that’s primarily the result of the entire sample being of registered voters and the use of a likely voter model. The People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll top line numbers do not report the results of those who answer “No, I do not” or “Not sure” to the question: “Do you expect to vote in the presidential election this coming November, or not?” We will cycle back to these respondents and attempt to interview them again at some point during the following week. Often, they change their minds and, if they do, those results are included in the sample.

Because of how we screen, the disparity is not significant.

Confidence Internal & Sample Error

We cannot accurately estimate a margin of error (MoE) because the sample is not a probability sample that used a random selection. Though we don’t know exactly who will and will not respond to the panel for a given day, they are still treated as opt-in. Instead, we use a bootstrap method with a standard 95% confidence interval. Admittedly, this can be a bit difficult with more than one or two choices, but we have had success in accounting for this in the past. The 95% confidence interval varies daily and will be posted along with results.

To reduce human error, we have begun to use StatKey as a basis to calculate the 95% confidence interval for candidates’ shares of the vote. We do so by generating 5,000 responses with the weighted results for the average three-day results.

Survey Wording & Order

Whether we call a respondent to request or conduct a repeat interview, they take it online or via email, the questions are worded exactly as they are in the link below and vote preference choices are randomized. (Caller A = Trump is the first choice; Caller B = Clinton is the first choice; Caller C = Johnson is the first choice; Caller D = Stein is the first choice.)

See Questionnaire: US Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (Internet Panel Questionnaire)

Concluded

The result of the People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll released on Saturday July 30 marks the first time our internal polling data, which helped propel the PPD Election Projection Model to #1 in 2014, has been released for public consumption.

Follow People’s Pundit Daily to keep updated on the latest polls and election projections!

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