Its official – Republicans and Democrats are now tied on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending June 2, 2013.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while another 40% would choose the Republican. Rasmussen’s survey mirrors the last Congressional Ballot survey conducted by Quinnipiac and released on May 30, which was all tied up at 38%.
The last time the two parties were tied was the week before Election Day in early November, but then the Democrats began to shift slightly in the average of polls.
The latest Obama scandals have clearly forced an ideological argument on the national level, and the Democrats have realized eroded support since. Rasmussen reports:
For the last seven weeks, the gap between the two parties has been two points or less. In the previous survey, Democrats led by two points. One week prior to that, Republicans led by one, only the second time since Election Day that the GOP had led on the Generic Ballot. Although Democrats have held a slight advantage most weeks since last November, their support is down from a high of 47% in early December.
I am always reluctant to call out outliers, but the ABC/WaPo poll released on May 23 was clearly an outlier. For those who may contend that the scandals did not factor into the ABC/WaPo poll, which was D+8, comparing the results to reputable pollsters’ findings display a clear disparity that does not supportive that assessment.
Last week, the GOP regained trust on a majority of issues for the first time since Election Day 2012. The economy remains the most important issue to the American voter, but government corruption and ethics has crept up the ladder, and voters also favor the GOP on that issue now as well.
- GOP Regains Trust Over Dems on Majority of Issues (richardbaris.wordpress.com)
- Poll: Voters Give Biggest Trust Margin to GOP on Spending, Democrats on Environment (richardbaris.wordpress.com)