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Friday, August 14, 2020
HomeNewsEconomyChicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) Indicates Strong Economic Rebound in May

Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) Indicates Strong Economic Rebound in May

U.S. economy on an American flag background waving in the wind, in 3D rendering. (Photo: AdobeStock)

CFNAI Unexpectedly Rebounds, Led By Production and Employment

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 2.61 in May from -17.89 in April, fueled by improvements in production- and employment-related indicators. The better than expected result indicates economic growth rebounded strongly in May.

Forecasts ranged from a low of -10.00 to a high of -4.00. The consensus forecast was -4.00, indicating economists expected continued contraction for the month.

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a weighted average of 85 indicators of growth in national economic activity derived from four broad categories: 1) production and income; 2) employment, unemployment, and hours; 3) personal consumption and housing; and 4) sales, orders, and inventories.

All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in May, and all four categories increased from April. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved up to –6.65 in May from –7.50 in April.

Written by
Staff Writing Group

PPD Business, the economy-reporting arm of People's Pundit Daily, is "making sense of current events." We are a no-holds barred, news reporting pundit of, by, and for the people.

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