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HomeNewsLiveVirginia Exit Polls Showing A Tight Race With Slight Lead For McAuliffe

Virginia Exit Polls Showing A Tight Race With Slight Lead For McAuliffe

ken cuccinelli

The Virginia exit polls are showing a tight race, but Democrat Terry McAuliffe has a slight lead. Refresh your page every 30 seconds to get new totals.

VA Vote Totals

Precincts T. McAuliffe
(Dem)
K. Cuccinelli
(GOP)
R. Sarvis
(Lib)
Total 2384/2541 √988,347
47.3%
961,946
46.0%
139,799
6.6%

 

Virginia Exit Polls

Gender

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II

Terry McAuliffe

Robert Sarvis

Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Male50%
47%
-15 pct. pts.
46%
+9 pct. pts.
6%
N.A.
Female50%
38%
-16 pct. pts.
54%
+8 pct. pts.
8%
N.A.
Race and Ethnicity Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
White =72%
54%
-13 pct. pts.
38%
+6 pct. pts.
8%
N.A.
Black =20%
6%
-3 pct. pts.
93%
+3 pct. pts.
1%
N.A.
Hispanic =4%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Asian =1%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Age Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
18-29 =12%
30%
-24 pct. pts.
50%
+6 pct. pts.
19%
N.A.
30-44 =23%
36%
-20 pct. pts.
59%
+15 pct. pts.
5%
N.A.
45-64 =45%
46%
-13 pct. pts.
48%
+7 pct. pts.
6%
N.A.
65+ =20%
50%
-10 pct. pts.
45%
+5 pct. pts.
4%
N.A.
Education Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
No H.S. diploma =1%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
High school grad =12%
48%
-16 pct. pts.
48%
+13 pct. pts.
3%
N.A.
Some college =23%
52%
-10 pct. pts.
40%
+3 pct. pts.
7%
N.A.
College =3%
43%
-18 pct. pts.
47%
+9 pct. pts.
9%
N.A.
Postgrad =30%
33%
-13 pct. pts.
59%
+6 pct. pts.
6%
N.A.
Religion Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Protestant0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Jewish0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Catholic0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
All other0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Party Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Democrat =39%
2%
-5 pct. pts.
96%
+3 pct. pts.
2%
N.A.
Republican =30%
91%
-5 pct. pts.
3%
-1 pct. pts.
4%
N.A.
Independent =31%
47%
-19 pct. pts.
36%
+3 pct. pts.
16%
N.A.
Income Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Under $50,000 =27%
36%
-14 pct. pts.
55%
+6 pct. pts.
9%
N.A.
$50,000-$99,999 =32%
49%
-11 pct. pts.
46%
+6 pct. pts.
5%
N.A.
$100,000 or more =41%
41%
-17 pct. pts.
50%
+8 pct. pts.
7%
N.A.
Ideology Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Liberal =21%
3%
-6 pct. pts.
91%
0 pct. pts.
6%
N.A.
Moderate =44%
30%
-17 pct. pts.
58%
+5 pct. pts.
11%
N.A.
Conservative =35%
85%
-6 pct. pts.
12%
+3 pct. pts.
3%
N.A.
Are You Gay, Lesbian or Bisexual? Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Yes 0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
No 0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Sex, Race and Ethnicity Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
White men =37%
59%
-12 pct. pts.
33%
+5 pct. pts.
7%
N.A.
White women =36%
48%
-15 pct. pts.
43%
+7 pct. pts.
8%
N.A.
Black men =9%
8%
0 pct. pts.
91%
0 pct. pts.
1%
N.A.
Black women =11%
5%
-5 pct. pts.
95%
+5 pct. pts.
1%
N.A.
Hispanic men =2%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Hispanic women =2%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
All other races =4%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
Does anyone in your household belong to a labor union? Cuccinelli McAuliffe Sarvis
Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009 Share of vote Change from 2009
Yes 0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
No 0%
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.

The Virginia exit polls are showing a tight race, but Democrat Terry McAuliffe has a slight lead.

2009 Virginia Exit Polls For Comparison

Are you: McDonnell Deeds
Male (48%) 62% 37%
Female (52%) 54% 46%
Age, four categories McDonnell Deeds
18-29 (10%) 54% 44%
30-44 (24%) 56% 44%
45-64 (47%) 59% 41%
65+ (18%) 60% 40%
Age-65 McDonnell Deeds
18-24 (5%) 55% 45%
25-29 (6%) 54% 44%
30-39 (14%) 56% 44%
40-49 (22%) 62% 38%
50-64 (36%) 56% 43%
65 or over (18%) 60% 40%
Are you: McDonnell Deeds
White (78%) 67% 32%
Black (16%) 9% 90%
Hispanic/Latino (3%)
Asian (2%)
Other (1%)
Sex by race McDonnell Deeds
White men (38%) 71% 28%
White women (40%) 63% 36%
Black men (6%) 8% 91%
Black women (9%) 10% 90%
Latino men (2%)
Latino women (2%)
All other races (3%)
Age by race McDonnell Deeds
White 18-29 (7%) 65% 33%
White 30-44 (18%) 67% 33%
White 45-64 (37%) 68% 31%
White 65+ (15%) 67% 33%
Black 18-29 (2%)
Black 30-44 (4%)
Black 45-64 (7%) 8% 91%
Black 65+ (2%)
Latino 18-29 (1%)
Latino 30-44 (1%)
Latino 45-64 (2%)
Latino 65+ (0%)
All other (3%)
2008 total family income: McDonnell Deeds
Under $15,000 (5%)
$15,000 – $29,999 (10%) 45% 53%
$30,000 – $49,999 (17%) 53% 47%
$50,000 – $74,999 (21%) 64% 36%
$75,000 – $99,999 (15%) 54% 45%
$100,000 – $149,999 (16%) 61% 39%
$150,000 – $199,999 (8%) 53% 46%
$200,000 or more (8%) 55% 45%
Total family income: McDonnell Deeds
Less than $50,000 (31%) 50% 49%
$50,000 or more (69%) 59% 41%
Total family income: McDonnell Deeds
Less than $100,000 (68%) 55% 44%
$100,000 or more (32%) 58% 42%
Total family income: McDonnell Deeds
Under $50,000 (31%) 50% 49%
$50,000-$99,999 (36%) 60% 40%
$100,000 or more (32%) 58% 42%
What was the last grade of school you completed? McDonnell Deeds
Did not complete high school (3%)
High school graduate (17%) 64% 35%
Some college or associate degree (26%) 62% 37%
College graduate (28%) 61% 38%
Postgraduate study (26%) 46% 53%
What was the last grade of school you completed? McDonnell Deeds
More than high school grad (80%) 57% 43%
High school graduate or less (20%) 62% 38%
What was the last grade of school you completed? McDonnell Deeds
College graduate (54%) 54% 45%
No college degree (46%) 62% 37%
Education by race McDonnell Deeds
White college graduates (44%) 61% 39%
White non-college graduates (35%) 75% 24%
Non White college graduates (11%) 27% 72%
Non White non-college graduates (11%) 18% 81%
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: McDonnell Deeds
Democrat (33%) 7% 93%
Republican (37%) 96% 4%
Independent or something else (30%) 66% 33%
Party by race McDonnell Deeds
White Democrats (19%) 9% 91%
White Independents (25%) 70% 29%
White Republicans (34%) 97% 3%
All other (22%) 23% 76%
On most political matters, do you consider yourself: McDonnell Deeds
Liberal (18%) 9% 91%
Moderate (42%) 47% 53%
Conservative (40%) 91% 9%
White Evangelical/Born-again Christians McDonnell Deeds
White Evangelical/Born-again Christians (34%) 83% 17%
All others (66%) 44% 55%
Do you work full-time for pay? McDonnell Deeds
Yes (64%) 57% 42%
No (36%) 58% 41%
Working women: McDonnell Deeds
Working women (28%) 51% 49%
All others (72%) 60% 40%
Did either of these candidates for governor attack the other unfairly? McDonnell Deeds
Only Deeds did (22%) 88% 12%
Only McDonnell did (8%) 20% 78%
Both did (43%) 48% 52%
Neither did (18%) 61% 39%
Did either of these candidates for governor attack the other unfairly? McDonnell Deeds
Deeds did (65%) 61% 38%
Deeds did not (26%) 48% 51%
Did either of these candidates for governor attack the other unfairly? McDonnell Deeds
McDonnell did (51%) 43% 56%
McDonnell did not (40%) 76% 24%
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next year? McDonnell Deeds
Very worried (53%) 77% 23%
Somewhat worried (32%) 41% 58%
Not too worried (10%) 23% 76%
Not at all worried (3%)
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next year? McDonnell Deeds
Worried (85%) 63% 36%
Not worried (14%) 23% 77%
In the 2008 election for president, did you vote for: McDonnell Deeds
Barack Obama (Dem) (43%) 12% 88%
John McCain (Rep) (51%) 95% 5%
Someone else (2%)
Did not vote (2%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? McDonnell Deeds
Strongly approve (31%) 8% 92%
Somewhat approve (17%) 41% 58%
Somewhat disapprove (16%) 91% 9%
Strongly disapprove (35%) 96% 3%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? McDonnell Deeds
Approve (48%) 20% 80%
Disapprove (51%) 94% 5%
Was one reason for your vote for governor today: McDonnell Deeds
To express support for Barack Obama (17%) 6% 93%
To express opposition to Barack Obama (24%) 97% 3%
Barack Obama was not a factor (56%) 56% 43%
Which ONE issue mattered most in deciding how you voted for governor today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) McDonnell Deeds
Health care (24%) 49% 51%
Economy/Jobs (47%) 57% 42%
Transportation (7%) 38% 62%
Taxes (15%) 84% 16%
Population of area, five categories McDonnell Deeds
Over 500 thousand (<1%)
50 to 500 thousand (21%) 44% 56%
Suburbs (48%) 57% 43%
10 to 50 thousand (3%)
Rural (28%) 68% 31%
Population of area, three categories McDonnell Deeds
City over 50 thousand (21%) 44% 56%
Suburbs (48%) 57% 43%
Small city and Rural (31%) 69% 31%
Written by

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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