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HomePollsSunshine State Battleground Poll: Trump’s Approval Rating in Florida Remains Strong

Sunshine State Battleground Poll: Trump’s Approval Rating in Florida Remains Strong

President Donald J. Trump with his wife, First Lady Melania Trump, take the stage during a campaign-style "Thank You" rally for supporters on Saturday, February 18, 2017, in Melbourne, Florida. (Photo: Associated Press/AP)

Estimated Support Per County Finds High Likelihood President Trump Would Carry the Nation's Largest Battleground State, Again

President Donald J. Trump with his wife, First Lady Melania Trump, take the stage during a campaign-style "Thank You" rally for supporters on Saturday, February 18, 2017, in Melbourne, Florida. (Photo: Associated Press/AP)

President Donald J. Trump with his wife, First Lady Melania Trump, take the stage during a campaign-style “Thank You” rally for supporters on Saturday, February 18, 2017, in Melbourne, Florida. (Photo: Associated Press/AP)

The People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) Sunshine State Battleground Poll finds President Donald J. Trump’s approval rating in Florida far above his national numbers. The President is above water in his adopted state, 52% to 45%.

Unlike other oft-cited surveys, PPD Battleground State Polls pegged President Trump’s victories on the statewide level in all but two states we identified as battlegrounds within tens of percentage points, including Florida, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Our final PPD Sunshine State Battleground Poll released on Nov. 6 found him leading Hillary Clinton by 1.6%, rounded up to two points.

He won by 1.2%.

Since the election, the President’s support among whites has held roughly even in the nation’s largest battleground state, while his support among non-whites, particularly Hispanics, has risen slightly on almost ever measure. The likely voter model hasn’t shifted all that much as it relates to each demographic’s share of the vote. In other words, his image and approval ratings among group’s he previously struggled with has improved, albeit slightly.

PPD Sunshine State Battleground Poll: Trump Approval

But as the map shows, it adds up statewide and if he was up for reelection today, it is highly likely President Trump would carry the state of Florida. Here’s our best estimate of how the counties would vote based on our findings. Below is his estimated share of the vote per county in the Sunshine State, adjusting for demographics in each.



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The Florida Panhandle was key to his ability to overcome Mrs. Clinton’s margin in Broward County and Osceola County. He enjoys only 33% and 34% support in those large Democratic strongholds, respectively.

That Northwest Republican bastion remains a solid base of support for him today, with the more populous Bay (70%), Walton (78%) and Okaloosa (71%) counties giving him large margins with greater than 70% of the vote.

Battleground Pinellas remains in his corner (51%) and he is closing in on majority support in Hillsborough (47%), which was previously considered a bellwether county in the state. Mrs. Clinton carried Hillsborough 52% to 45%, but it’s moved slightly toward the President.

Pasco (59%), Citrus (65%), Marion (62%) and Hernando (61%) also give him roughly 60% or more of the vote. Hardee (71%) and Sumter (70%) are also among the President’s largest vote-givers.

The PPD Poll follows level 1 AAPOR standards of disclosure and WAPOR/ESOMAR code of conduct. All publicly released surveys are subscriber– and individual reader donations-funded, not sponsored by any other media outlet, partisan or political entity.

The national poll was conducted from April 27 to May 3 and are based on 2101 interviews of likely voters participating in the PPD Internet Polling Panel. The Sunshine State Battleground Poll, a subsample of the PPD Battleground State Likely Voter Metrics, are collected in separate state-wide samples.

The PPD Poll has a 95% confidence interval and is not weighted based on party affiliation (party ID), but rather demographics from the U.S. Census Current Population Survey–i.e. age, gender, race, income, education and region. Partisan affiliation is derived from a proprietary likely voter model and demographic weighting, not the other way around.

The sample identified a partisan split of 35.3% Republican, 34.9% Democrat and 29.8% Independent/Other. Read about methodology here.

Written by
Editor-in-Chief

Richard D. Baris is the Editor-in-Chief and Senior Political Analyst at People's Pundit Daily. He is also the author of the must-read book on American political philosophy, <a href="https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/books/our-virtuous-republic-forgotten-clause-american-social-contract/"><b><em>Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract</em></b></a>. He is married to his beautiful wife, Laura Lee Baris, Producer and Assistant Editor at People's Pundit Daily, and they have two beautiful children. Blessed with both a boy and a girl, Rich is a former bad guy-turned-good only by the grace of the Almighty Creator.

Latest comment

  • Mushtaq Dean

    Trump’s status gets rejuvenated

    The report that Trump’s status has rejuvenated would not surprise many. But his previous performance that was not considered for reward, recognition, and applause would certainly surprise rather shock many.

    This time, the rise that Trump’ status has experienced is attributed to his valorous role he has played amid North Korea tension.

    But during his 200 days of presidency, he has shown highly remarkable performance that too deserves an unrestricted reception. For example:

    • America has had 45 presidents, three worked accepting no salary, Trump is one of them.

    • At G-20, Trump met top international leaders, discussed with them various issues chiefly the treacherous thinking of N.Korea. Trump’s thunderous declaration of “locked and loaded” has placed a staggering load on Korean nerves.

    • Withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

    • He has created a large number of jobs.

    • Appointing a Supreme Court Justice.

    • At the command of Syrian leaders, civilian population including children in Syria was showered with chemical fluid. Showing his love for children, Trump took retalliative action, ordered his forces for the complete devastation of those sites that were used by Syrian units in this cruel operation.

    • Trump says America welcomes immigrants but strictly in a reasonable number. Criminal, unskilled, uneducated, undocumented immigrants have no place in our country. He has initiated deportation, an operation designed to serve White Americans who had lost their jobs at the hands of immigrants and have suffered numerous problems.

    • Mexico border is another place that Trump has always felt as trouble spot. Because of its being left for years together without proper barricades and surveillance, illegal immigrants and smugglers of drugs and ammunition freely used it. This illegal influx has played havoc in American society giving rise to street crimes and a number of drug users.

    Trump has faced severe resistance on his immigration and Mexico wall operations but he has fought with courage.

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