Bernie Sanders is either maintaining or opening up a lead in the final New Hampshire Democratic Primary polls. With less than one day to go before voting begins on Tuesday, the momentum Pete Buttigieg enjoyed out of Iowa appears to have faded and even receded.
New Hampshire has a long history of supporting neighboring or hometown candidates. Bernie leads in the latest average of polls in New Hampshire by roughly 5 points, and fellow-neighbor Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is fighting for third place against former Vice President Joe Biden.
Noon EST UPDATE: Polling average updated. Bernie Sanders now leads by 6.5 points.
The Boston Globe/Suffolk tracking poll caused an uproar on Saturday when it showed Buttigieg edging out Sanders by 1 point. Bernie had led every poll in the Granite State since January. On Sunday, he retook a 2-point lead over the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana.
The WHDH 7 News/ Emerson College tracking poll foundd Senator Sanders opening up a 10-point lead on Sunday, which tapered back to 7 points. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling, conceded the challenger could still pull off a surprise in New Hampshire.
“While Sanders has a lead going into the election, Buttigieg has closed the gap and could still pull off a New Hampshire surprise, as he and Sanders are within the margin of error,” he said. “Klobuchar continues to move up, but she still trails the top two candidates by a significant margin.”
“Warren and Biden could still get as high as third but today’s data had them going in the wrong direction. ”
The surprise surge of Senator Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., is confirmed only by the Boston Globe/Suffolk tracking poll, though the results in Iowa and anecdotal conversations with voters do indicate her star is at least somewhat on the rise.
This article and the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic Primary Poll Tracker will be updated throughout the day if and when new polls are released.