U.S. Senate Moving Out of Democratic Grasp, Blue State Democrats on Defensive
President Donald Trump is heading to Wisconsin next Wednesday to support Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate against incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin. The president has been on his on a national midterm campaign tour for Republicans in an effort to protect their majority in the U.S. House and expand it in the U.S. Senate.
“We are pleased to announce the next stop on our national midterm campaign tour with a Make America Great Again rally on Wednesday, October 24th in Mosinee, Wisconsin, featuring President Donald Trump,” said Michael Glassner Chief Operating Officer to Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. “President Trump looks forward to being with the great patriots of Wisconsin to celebrating the booming economy that’s delivering more jobs and bigger paychecks across the state.”
The rally in Wisconsin will be his seventeenth in Wisconsin and the second rally in the Mosinee/Wausau area since he first began his race for president in June, 2015. President Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to carry The Badger State since Ronald Reagan in 1984. It was the first crack in the Blue Wall, the first one of three Midwest states.
Last week, he announced a “western swing” that includes Montana, Arizona and Nevada. On Thursday, the president will hold a rally in Montana at Neptune Aviation Services in Missoula.
Big Sky Country, which is demographically similar to North Dakota, public polling has been scare. Rep. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., is expected to defeat incumbent Senator Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., It remains a projected Battleground.
On Friday, he’ll rally for Rep. Martha McSally and Congressional Republicans at the International Air Response in Mesa, Arizona. In the Grand Canyon State, the race to fill the open seat vacated by Republican Senator Jeff Flake had been rated Slightly Democrat. But the advent of the controversy over the confirmation of U.S. Supreme Court Associate Justice Brett Kavanaugh, coupled with several near-campaign ending October surprises, has tightened the race to a Battleground.
On Saturday, the president will hold a rally at Elko Regional Airport in Elko, Nevada. In The Silver State, incumbent Republican Senator Dean Heller has a slight lead over his Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen in the polls. However, as the model has repeatedly noted, polling over the last several cycles has tended to understate Democratic support.
The PPD Senate Election Projection Model projects 51 seats as either Slightly, Leans, Likely or Solidly Republican. Five seats are projected as Battlegrounds and all three of the states on his western swing, are among them.
The U.S. Senate election projection in Wisconsin Leans Democrat, though some polls did seem to indicate the incumbent widened out her lead again. But demographically, the movement toward Republicans in the other states means Senator Baldwin cannot sleep on the race in the final stretch.
Mr. Glassner said in an email that President Trump will talk about the success of the booming economy that’s delivering new jobs and bigger paychecks to families across Wisconsin, as well as the critical need for voters to help protect and expand the GOP majorities in the House and Senate this November.
“The President will also remind Wisconsinites of the critical need to get out and vote on November 6th to help protect and expand the Republican majorities in the House and Senate, including supporting Leah Vukmir in her race against Tammy Baldwin for the U.S. Senate,” he concluded.
Wednesday, October 24th, 2018, 6:30 PM (CDT): Mosinee, WI
President Trump will hold an event at the Central Wisconsin Airport in Mosinee, Wisconsin.
Central Wisconsin Airport
400 Aviation Way
Mosinee, WI 54455