Tropical Storm Dorian could strengthen to a Category 2 as it approaches Florida, though models vary and confidence in the track remains low.
Above is the Euro model (ECMWF) for the next 240 hours beginning on August 28, 2019. Below is the GFS for the same period of time.
The storm was originally forecast to strengthen to a hurricane ahead of Puerto Rico, but the northern turn would ensure it avoids disruption from mountainous island regions.
“The land interaction could end the strengthening trend or even cause some temporary weakening, however, environmental conditions favor intensification after the storm pulls northward into the southwestern Atlantic,” the National Hurricane Center said.
“Nearly all of the intensity models show Dorian becoming a hurricane in about 2 days, with additional strengthening beyond that time.”
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Keeping a close eye on this tracking, as severe weather updates always make me stop and grab some perspective. I’ve been completely glued to my monitor lately doing endless development sprints for my indie project, THE Kid at THE BACK Game. It’s so easy to get completely lost in a digital bubble, but real-world news like Dorian potentially hitting Category 2 snaps me right out of it. Appreciate the detailed breakdown here. Stay safe to anyone in the storm’s path!
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