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Thursday, October 21, 2021
HomePolicyWhy Border Security is a Problem in the Immigration Reform Debate

Why Border Security is a Problem in the Immigration Reform Debate

Democrats are not sincere in their promise to increase border security, because if they do, it will lead to their ultimate demise. I understand that the mainstream media and the GOP’s Washington Beltway pundits are pushing a narrative that is diametrically opposed to my claim, but make no mistake, they are either lying or flat-out too dumb to see the political game that they are playing – and losing.

Dick Morris and Ann Coulter, who are in complete disagreement on the issue of immigration reform, are both right in their presumptions and both are wrong in their implications. Confusing, I know, but bare with me for a minute because it is very important.

Dick Morris is pro-immigration reform, believes that Hispanics will become Republicans over time, but does not believe border security is particularly necessary. Ann Coulter believes that border security is paramount, but believes that Hispanics are “hopeless Democrats” who will never vote Republican.

The truth, as usual, is somewhere in the middle, and the Democrats know it, while the GOP pro-immigration lawmakers are too stupid to do the research. Speaker Boehner’s million dollar consultants – the same people who have been losing elections for two decades – are telling him that immigration reform must be passed in order to ensure the parties political survival.

But let’s look at the facts, because when we do, we see a clear historical trend that spells demise for the Democratic Party if the border is secure.

Much was made about the fact that Obama won the Catholic vote in the 2012 presidential election, and he did so because of the overwhelming support he enjoyed from Hispanics. However, the white Catholic vote went for Romney by approximately 20 points. Who makes up the white Catholic vote? The answer is very encouraging – ex-Democrats – particularly Italian Americans and Irish-Catholic Americans. Let’s look at their political evolution and compare it to Hispanics.

For Italian-Americans, early political activity took place at the urban machine level, where they would typically encounter Irish-Catholic Democratic bosses offering favors in return for support (sounds familiar), but often blocking out aspiring Italian politicians. Guess where these glass ceiling-breakers ended up – the Republican Party. Italians seeking office frequently “drifted to the Republican Party,” and over time, brought Italian voters with them.

In the 1930′s, Italian Americans voted heavily Democratic, and made up an indispensable portion of the New Deal majority.[1] Since 1968, however, voters have split more evenly between the Democratic – 37% – and the Republican – 36% – parties, and these figures actually understate how they currently vote.

In the early 1970’s, only 17 percent of Italian Americans were registered Republicans while 45 percent were registered Democrats, but many more began to vote Republican in recent presidential elections. Beginning with President Ronald Reagan and President George H.W. Bush, both were supported by large Italian-American majorities, it was all over for the Democrats’ ability to enslave them. Overall, the group has moved from the left toward the political center. By 1991, Italian American voter registrations stood at 35% Republican, while just 32% were Democrat, an absolute disaster for the Democrats.

The political transformation of Italian Americans came with the maturation of the second and third generations, which supports the first assumption of Dick Morris’ theory. But what about Irish-Catholics?

The evolution of the Irish American vote differs a bit from Italian Americans because they are composed of Protestant-Catholic affiliations. Obviously, Irish-Protestants help settle the colonies, have been assimilated into the American identity, and largely vote Republican today. Irish-Catholics, however, have a history in the Democrat political machine and make up a large portion of the labor union vote.

From the 1830’s to the 1960′s, Irish Catholics voted 80% – 95% Democratic, with the occasional outlier such as the election of 1920.[2] Senator Joseph McCarthy, was a very notable Republican exception to the Irish-American connection to the Democratic Party.

Exit polls have shown that in recent presidential elections Irish Catholics have split about 50% – 50% for Democratic and Republican candidates; large majorities again voted for Ronald Reagan.[3] In the 2012 election, a majority of Irish Catholics voted for Mitt Romney, including approximately 20% of Irish American union members, again, an absolute disaster for the Democratic base. In blue states such as Connecticut, “the most heavily Irish communities now tend to be in the outer suburbs and generally support Republican candidates, such as New Fairfield.”

The Democrats are well aware of this trend, and the Hispanic data strongly supports the theory that Hispanics will follow the trend of their Catholic counterparts. In fact, the trend is more pronounced and assuming a rightward shift in a much faster fashion than Irish-Catholics.

As we can see, Democrats benefit from the first generation’s decision to side with one or the other political parties, but proportionately, Democrats increase their support by less than 50%, while the Republican Party more than doubles the number of Hispanics who identify with them. By the time of maturation of the second generation comes to fruition, Democrats actually lose support and the Republican gains continue.

Sometimes I really wonder if it is that Speaker Boehner is too stupid, or just too lazy to do the research, but Democrats will not enforce border security amendments because they know that it will lead to their ultimate demise. As second, third, and fourth generation Hispanics begin to mature into the 30 – 45 age block, they will follow the pattern and vote Republican. Although a majority of immigrants – 60% – report to consider themselves political independents, in reality, when pushed to “lean” to one party or the other, they will pick the Democratic Party.

The key to the Democrats’ success in the late 19th century and throughout the 20th century, has been to exploit each new wave of immigrants, prolong the amount of time immigrants take to integrate into political and cultural society, and keep the flood gates open to immigrants who come from regions especially susceptible to exploitation.

They must never agree to border security provisions that will slow or stop the wave of new immigrants, because when these groups mature into American society, they will vote against the Democrats who exploited their previous generations – and it will be their demise.

To read more about the despotic progressive plan to annihilate the American mainstream Protestant ethic, check out Rich’s new book Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract.

Article Citation Sources:

1. Vecoli, Rudolph J. The Coming Of Age Of Italian Americans: 1945-1974, Ethnicity 1978 5(2): 119-147; see also Stefano Luconi, “Machine Politics and the Consolidation of the Roosevelt Majority: The Case of Italian Americans in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia”, Journal of American Ethnic History, 1996 15(2): 32-59.

2. Helmreich, William B. The Things They Say Behind Your Back: Stereotypes and the Myths Behind Them. 5th ed. Piscataway, New Jersey: Transaction Publishers, 1984. (pg. 158)

3. Marlin, George. American Catholic Voter: Two Hundred Years Of Political Impact. St. Augustines Press; 1 edition (October 28, 2006) (pgs. 296 – 345)

Written by
Data Journalism Editor

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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