While Wall Street Was Shocked by Trump Win, One Hedge Fund Was Wicked Accurate

Democrat Hillary Clinton, left, the former secretary of state, and New York businessman and Republican Donald Trump, right.

From Washington to Wall Street and from pollsters to pundits, the nation’s elites are in shock over the historic defeat of Democrat Hillary R. Clinton by Republican Donald J. Trump.

They never saw it coming. While we spend an undetermined amount of time taking victory laps for being the most accurate election projection model, we are also looking to give credit where credit is due.

Malabar Capital Management LLC, a Texas-based hedge fund nailed it.

When Michigan is officially called, and it will be called, Donald J. Trump will have won the largest Electoral College victory for any Republican since 1988. He is the first Republican presidential candidate to carry the state of Wisconsin since 1984, something George W. Bush tried but failed to do, twice.

Mr. Trump taught the Republican Party a lesson only a few minds, including a brilliant one at Malabar Capital Management, even understood. The GOP was never and will never out-pander Democrats among minorities, leaving their real path running right through the Rust Belt. The brilliant, truly brilliant analysis of Reid Stein, who foresaw this path from the beginning, is below.

It’s more than worth the time to read. If only the Republican Party had figured it out sooner.

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