In a new WV Senate poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports, Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito is on top of WV Sec. of State Natalie Tennant by a whopping 14 percent. Capito garnered 49 percent support among likely West Virginia voters, while Tennant received just 35 percent.
Though Rasmussen Reports was assessed by PPD to have a rating of 4 out of a possible 1 out of 4, with 1 being a stellar rating, the survey results are largely in line with the 2014 Senate Map Predictions at PeoplesPunditDaily.com. Since we first examined the West Virginia Senate race, Capito has been a strong favorite to win on Election Day.
PPD has confidently rated the WV race “Safe Republican” on our 2014 Senate Map Predictions, and while other notable pundits were initially skeptical of our early rating, Crystal Ball and others have begun to come around to recognizing the reality of this race.
Mitt Romney beat President Obama 62 – 36 percent, who according to Gallup has an approval rating of 25 percent. We have demonstrated over and over the relationship between presidential approval ratings and Senate election outcomes since 1980. To read more about the model used at PeoplesPunditDaily.com to predict election outcomes, click here.
In the Rasmussen Reports poll, just 4 percent preferred another candidate in the race, and 12 percent said they are still undecided.
View Polling Graphs Below Or Return To PPD 2014 Senate Map
| Poll | Date | Sample | Capito (R) | Tennant (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | 2/19 – 2/20 | 500 LV | 49 | 35 | Capito +14 |
| PPP (D) | 9/19 – 9/22 | 1110 RV | 50 | 36 | Capito +14 |
| The West Virginia Poll | 8/15 – 8/22 | 400 A | 45 | 40 | Capito +5 |
