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HomePollsMajority Says U.S. is More Dangerous than Pre-9/11, Losing War on Terror

Majority Says U.S. is More Dangerous than Pre-9/11, Losing War on Terror

isis vs us

isis vs us

For the first time in over four years, a majority of voters believe that the U.S. is a more dangerous place than it was before September 11, 2001. A new survey conducted by Rasmussen Reports found only 32 percent of likely voters think America is safer today, while 52 percent disagree and 16 percent are unsure.

That trend shows a level of confidence that has been consistently tanking since last fall — when the Obama administration was caught off-guard by the Islamic State (ISIS) — and is now at its lowest level in over four years.

The number of likely voters in the current majority is up from a 48-percent plurality measured in a March survey, and confidence that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror — which was positive until the second year of Obama’s first term — remains at a near low.

President Obama traveled to the Pentagon to discuss what most military experts say is an inadequate policy to confront ISIS, but half of voters say the government is not doing enough to combat the threat from domestic terrorism. Fifteen percent think the government focuses too much on the threat from Islamic terrorism, but 28 percent think its in the Goldilock Zone.

Further, since the failed attempt to shoot up a Mohammed drawing contest in Texas back in May, most Americans also agree that Islamic terrorism is now a greater threat inside the United States.

Unsurprisingly, the poll found an observable difference in response based on the party affiliation of the respondent.

Republicans (58 percent) and a plurality (47 percent) of voters not affiliated with either major party say the U.S. is losing the War on Terror, while just 19 percent of Democrats agree. Digging deeper into the Democrats’ numbers, a sizable 41 percent still think the United States and its allies are winning.

There is, of course, significant overlap between those who say the U.S. is losing the War on Terror with those who say the nation is not as safe as it was pre-9/11. Sixty percent (60%) of those who say the United States and its allies are winning believe America is a safer place today, while 75 percent of voters who think the terrorists are winning also say America is not safer now than before 9/11.

Even at the low point in President George W. Bush’s tenure, Americans still felt safer. For instance, five years after the 9/11 attacks, in late 2006, 40 percent thought the United States and its allies were winning, while 32 percent said the terrorists had the upper hand.

Worth noting, a quarter (25 percent) of likely voters now think neither side is winning.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 2 and 5, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

WHO IS WINNING THE WAR ON TERROR?
DATES US/ALLIES TERRORISTS
Jul 2 & 5 27% 41%
Jun 10-11 27% 44%
May 13-14 25% 37%
Apr 15-16 29% 39%
Mar 18-19 33% 33%
Feb 20-21 19% 37%
Jan 23-24, 2015 23% 33%
Oct 27-28 25% 36%
Jul 27-28 27% 36%
Apr 17-18 35% 27%
Jan 19-20, 2014 39% 30%
Oct 16-17 36% 26%
Jul 16-17 40% 22%
Apr 23-24 37% 24%
Jan 29-30, 2013 42% 22%
Dec 22 45% 18%
Nov 20 44% 22%
Oct 31- Nov 1 49% 25%
Sep 23-24 45% 21%
Aug 20-21 50% 20%
Jul 9-10 47% 15%
May 30-31 51% 16%
Apr 30-May 1 51% 11%
Mar 21-22 50% 17%
Feb 20-21 51% 15%
Jan 20-21, 2012 48% 17%
Dec 12-13 50% 18%
Nov 7-8 46% 14%
Oct 8-9 46% 13%
Sep 8-9 49% 13%
Aug 9-10 44% 15%
July 10-11 52% 13%
June 6-8 50% 15%
May 3-4 55% 11%
Apr 7-8 32% 24%
Mar 6-7 40% 24%
Jan 31-Feb 1 39% 19%
Jan 3-4, 2011 38% 30%
Dec 3-4 37% 32%
Nov 9-10 45% 22%
Oct 10-11 42% 28%
Sep 8-9 46% 24%
Aug 4 39% 26%
Jul 5 39% 23%
May 20-21 39% 28%
Apr 22-23 42% 25%
Mar 21-22 42% 23%
Feb 21-22 50% 21%
Jan 26-27, 2010 38% 31%

Written by

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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